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Stadium Background

Estrela da Amadora U23 vs Torreense U23

Portugal Portugal

Liga Revelacao U23
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estrela da Amadora U23 play Torreense U23 in the Liga Revelacao U23. It looks like a close match. Recently, Estrela da Amadora U23 averaged 0.38 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Torreense U23 averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Estrela da Amadora U23 won 1, Torreense U23 won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 22, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for Estrela da Amadora U23 and 1.19 for Torreense U23. This points to a Torreense U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Estrela da Amadora U23
39%
Draws
30%
Torreense U23
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Torreense U23 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Estrela da Amadora U23.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Revelacao U23 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Estrela da Amadora U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Torreense U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela da Amadora U23 Torreense U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 8 3
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 22, 2025 Liga Revelacao U23
Estrela da Amadora U23 vs Torreense U23
2:1
Oct 6, 2025 Liga Revelacao U23
Torreense U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23
2:1
Apr 2, 2025 Liga Revelacao U23
Torreense U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23
4:0
Jan 21, 2025 Liga Revelacao U23
Estrela da Amadora U23 vs Torreense U23
0:1
Apr 16, 2024 Liga Revelacao U23
Torreense U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrela da Amadora U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Poniewas H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Torreense U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Queda G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela da Amadora U23 32 / 100
Torreense U23 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela da Amadora U23 Torreense U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela da Amadora U23 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Torreense U23 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Estrela da Amadora U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Torreense U23 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estrela da Amadora U23 VS Torreense U23
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academico Viseu U231475229:1626
2Leixoes U231467128:1725
3Braga U231465324:2223
4Famalicao U231472530:1923
5Gil Vicente U231445517:1817
6Rio Ave U231443719:2515
7Vizela U231442816:2714
8Maritimo U231423913:329
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benfica U2316112327:1535
2Santa Clara U2316101521:1431
3Torreense U2316100625:1630
4Sporting CP U231683528:1427
5SC Farense U231681719:1825
6Leiria U231645717:2317
7Estrela da Amadora U231635817:2814
8Portimonense U2316511013:2313
9Estoril U231616915:319