Sport Picks
Estrela da Amadora vs Benfica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga Portugal Estádio José Gomes, Amadora 
Match Events
26'
26'
Prestianni G.
Assist: Echeverri C.
48'
48'
Zvonarek L.
Assist: Rafa Soares
50'
50'
Silva M.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal game between Estrela da Amadora and Benfica finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benfica.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
14%
15%
71%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Benfica come out ahead of Estrela da Amadora on wins alone.
- Model gives Benfica a 71% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Benfica here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Estrela da Amadora Clean Sheet 10%
Benfica Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Estrela da Amadora | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 34 |
| Wins | 8 | 26 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 8, 2026 Liga Portugal
Estrela da Amadora vs Benfica
2:3
Jan 25, 2026 Liga Portugal
Benfica vs Estrela da Amadora
4:0
Aug 16, 2025 Liga Portugal
Estrela da Amadora vs Benfica
0:1
Feb 2, 2025 Liga Portugal
Estrela da Amadora vs Benfica
2:3
Nov 23, 2024 Taça de Portugal
Benfica vs Estrela da Amadora
7:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Estrela da Amadora Compare
Top Goalscorer Zvonarek L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Antonetti L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Benfica Compare
Top Goalscorer Prestianni G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pavlidis V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Estrela da Amadora 10 / 100
Benfica 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Estrela da Amadora Benfica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Benfica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:10
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.
Estrela da Amadora found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Benfica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 34 matches.
Estrela da Amadora went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Estrela da Amadora VS Benfica
1.25 Goals Scored 2.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Estrela da Amadora
(Home) 08 Nov
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 3 Benfica
31 Oct
Moreirense
2 : 1 Estrela da Amadora
24 Oct
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2 Casa Pia
17 Oct
Fazendense
1 : 2 Estrela da Amadora
11 Oct
Arouca
1 : 0 Estrela da Amadora
Page 1 of 6
08 Nov
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 3 Benfica
24 Oct
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2 Casa Pia
20 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2 Academico Viseu
10 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 1 Braga
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2 Famalicao
Page 1 of 4
Benfica
(Away) 08 Nov
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 3 Benfica
05 Nov
Benfica
3 : 1 Lech Poznan
02 Nov
Benfica
1 : 0 Alverca
29 Oct
Benfica
4 : 1 Gil Vicente
26 Oct
Santa Clara
1 : 2 Benfica
Page 1 of 7
08 Nov
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 3 Benfica
26 Oct
Santa Clara
1 : 2 Benfica
22 Oct
Omonia
1 : 4 Benfica
20 Sept
FC Porto
3 : 1 Benfica
16 Sept
AC Milan
0 : 2 Benfica
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 27:5 | 33 |
| 2 | Benfica | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30:10 | 28 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | 24 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:8 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13:8 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:8 | 18 |
| 8 | Braga | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | 14 |
| 10 | Famalicao | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Alverca | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 12 | Estrela da Amadora | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 10 |
| 13 | Nacional | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:19 | 10 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 15 | Maritimo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6:20 | 8 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:24 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)
