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Estrela da Amadora vs BSAD Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Sambu B.
16'
Guzman S.
23' Event
Ndo R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 game between Estrela da Amadora and BSAD finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estrela da Amadora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Estrela da Amadora
35%
Draws
28%
BSAD
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Estrela da Amadora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • BSAD have managed 1.2 goals a game lately — Estrela da Amadora are scoring more at 1.46.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Estrela da Amadora Clean Sheet 20%
BSAD Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela da Amadora BSAD
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.46 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
Estrela da Amadora vs BSAD
2:0
Nov 6, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
BSAD vs Estrela da Amadora
1:3
Mar 15, 2009 Liga Portugal
BSAD vs Estrela da Amadora
2:2
Nov 2, 2008 Liga Portugal
Estrela da Amadora vs BSAD
1:1
Apr 12, 2008 Liga Portugal
Estrela da Amadora vs BSAD
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrela da Amadora Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

BSAD Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela da Amadora 32 / 100
BSAD 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela da Amadora BSAD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela da Amadora's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

BSAD let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Estrela da Amadora remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Estrela da Amadora VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela da Amadora

(Home)
20 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2
Academico Viseu
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
10 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 1
Braga
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2
Famalicao
30 Aug
Nacional
2 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
Page 1 of 6

BSAD

(Away)
11 Jun
BSAD
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
03 Jun
Vilaverdense FC
1 : 1
BSAD
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1
BSAD
20 May
BSAD
2 : 1
Oliveirense
13 May
BSAD
2 : 2
Mafra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moreirense 34 24 7 3 77:38 79
2 SC Farense 34 21 6 7 57:34 69
3 Estrela da Amadora 34 16 15 3 55:35 63
4 Academico Viseu 34 14 11 9 51:45 53
5 FC Porto B 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
6 Mafra 34 12 11 11 46:49 47
7 Vilafranquense 34 12 10 12 42:36 46
8 Feirense 34 11 13 10 43:37 46
9 Torreense 34 13 5 16 38:41 44
10 Oliveirense 34 11 10 13 51:50 43
11 Tondela 34 8 16 10 35:35 40
12 Penafiel 34 9 12 13 36:47 39
13 Nacional 34 10 9 15 35:46 39
14 Benfica B 34 10 8 16 52:58 38
15 Leixoes 34 10 9 15 38:49 38
16 BSAD 34 9 8 17 41:59 35
17 Trofense 34 8 8 18 31:51 32
18 Covilha 34 7 7 20 31:57 28
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Main)