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Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Estrela da Amadora and Casa Pia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Casa Pia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Estrela da Amadora
30%
Draws
23%
Casa Pia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estrela da Amadora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Estrela da Amadora's 1.41 goals per match outpaces what Casa Pia have produced (0.94).
  • Estrela da Amadora are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Estrela da Amadora Clean Sheet 20%
Casa Pia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela da Amadora Casa Pia
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.41 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia
1:2
Mar 20, 2026 Liga Portugal
Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia
4:0
Nov 1, 2025 Liga Portugal
Casa Pia vs Estrela da Amadora
3:5
Feb 9, 2025 Liga Portugal
Casa Pia vs Estrela da Amadora
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 Liga Portugal
Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela da Amadora 85 / 100
Casa Pia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela da Amadora Casa Pia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrela da Amadora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Estrela da Amadora found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Casa Pia let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Estrela da Amadora has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estrela da Amadora VS Casa Pia
1.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela da Amadora

(Home)
20 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2
Academico Viseu
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
10 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 1
Braga
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2
Famalicao
30 Aug
Nacional
2 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
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Casa Pia

(Away)
20 Sept
Estoril
1 : 2
Casa Pia
12 Sept
Casa Pia
1 : 4
FC Porto
06 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 0
Casa Pia
30 Aug
Casa Pia
0 : 1
Moreirense
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0
Casa Pia
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