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Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

No Data

No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Estrela da Amadora play Casa Pia in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Estrela da Amadora averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Casa Pia averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Estrela da Amadora won 3, Casa Pia won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 20, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Estrela da Amadora and 1.00 for Casa Pia. This points to a Estrela da Amadora double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Estrela da Amadora
44%
Draws
20%
Casa Pia
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Casa Pia has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Estrela da Amadora.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Estrela da Amadora Clean Sheet 20%
Casa Pia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela da Amadora Casa Pia
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 6 7
Draws 9 12
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Liga Portugal
Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia
4:0
Nov 1, 2025 Liga Portugal
Casa Pia vs Estrela da Amadora
3:5
Feb 9, 2025 Liga Portugal
Casa Pia vs Estrela da Amadora
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 Liga Portugal
Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia
0:1
Mar 8, 2024 Liga Portugal
Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela da Amadora 36 / 100
Casa Pia 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela da Amadora Casa Pia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela da Amadora scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Casa Pia let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Estrela da Amadora went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Casa Pia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estrela da Amadora VS Casa Pia
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%