Sport Picks
Estrela da Amadora vs Casa Pia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga Portugal Estádio José Gomes, Amadora 
AI Match Summary
Estrela da Amadora host Casa Pia in the Liga Portugal. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Estrela da Amadora at 1.39 goals for, 1.57 against; Casa Pia at 0.79 for, 1.72 against. Head-to-head, Estrela da Amadora have won 2 to Casa Pia's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.56 xG vs 1.19) point toward Estrela da Amadora. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Estrela da Amadora come out ahead of Casa Pia on wins alone.
- Estrela da Amadora are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Liga Portugal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Estrela da Amadora | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Estrela da Amadora found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Casa Pia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Estrela da Amadora went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Estrela da Amadora
(Home)Casa Pia
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 21 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 9 | Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 2 |
