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Estrela da Amadora vs CF Os Belenenses

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Tue, Jul 29, 2025
1 - 2
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Estrela da Amadora and CF Os Belenenses finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Os Belenenses.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Estrela da Amadora
20%
Draws
52%
CF Os Belenenses
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CF Os Belenenses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • CF Os Belenenses carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CF Os Belenenses's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and CF Os Belenenses have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Estrela da Amadora Clean Sheet 13%
CF Os Belenenses Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela da Amadora CF Os Belenenses
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.41 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Estrela da Amadora vs CF Os Belenenses
0:0
Jul 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Estrela da Amadora vs CF Os Belenenses
1:2
Aug 5, 2023 Club Friendly
CF Os Belenenses vs Estrela da Amadora
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela da Amadora 10 / 100
CF Os Belenenses 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela da Amadora CF Os Belenenses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Os Belenenses Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela da Amadora scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

CF Os Belenenses's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Estrela da Amadora has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estrela da Amadora VS CF Os Belenenses
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela da Amadora

(Home)
20 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2
Academico Viseu
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
10 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 1
Braga
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2
Famalicao
30 Aug
Nacional
2 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
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CF Os Belenenses

(Away)
19 Sept
Beira Mar
0 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0
Atletico CP
06 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 3
CF Os Belenenses
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0
Santarem
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