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Estrela da Amadora vs CF Os Belenenses - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estrela da Amadora host CF Os Belenenses in the Club Friendly. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Estrela da Amadora at 1.41 goals for, 1.59 against; CF Os Belenenses at 1.7 for, 1.11 against. Past meetings favor CF Os Belenenses slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 2.13, favoring CF Os Belenenses. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Estrela da Amadora
20%
Draws
52%
CF Os Belenenses
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CF Os Belenenses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • CF Os Belenenses have won more games recently than Estrela da Amadora.
  • CF Os Belenenses are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CF Os Belenenses have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Estrela da Amadora Clean Sheet 10%
CF Os Belenenses Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela da Amadora CF Os Belenenses
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 7 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.41 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Estrela da Amadora vs CF Os Belenenses
0:0
Jul 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Estrela da Amadora vs CF Os Belenenses
1:2
Aug 5, 2023 Club Friendly
CF Os Belenenses vs Estrela da Amadora
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela da Amadora 18 / 100
CF Os Belenenses 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela da Amadora CF Os Belenenses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Os Belenenses Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela da Amadora's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

CF Os Belenenses's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Estrela da Amadora stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estrela da Amadora VS CF Os Belenenses
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela da Amadora

(Home)
20 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2
Academico Viseu
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
10 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 1
Braga
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2
Famalicao
30 Aug
Nacional
2 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
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CF Os Belenenses

(Away)
19 Sept
Beira Mar
0 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0
Atletico CP
06 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 3
CF Os Belenenses
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0
Santarem
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