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Estrela da Amadora vs CF Os Belenenses

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estrela da Amadora host CF Os Belenenses in the Club Friendly. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Estrela da Amadora at 0.88 goals for, 1.13 against; CF Os Belenenses at 1.25 for, 1.25 against. Past meetings favor CF Os Belenenses slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 29, 2025, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.19, favoring CF Os Belenenses. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Estrela da Amadora
39%
Draws
31%
CF Os Belenenses
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • CF Os Belenenses have won more games recently than Estrela da Amadora.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Estrela da Amadora Clean Sheet 20%
CF Os Belenenses Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela da Amadora CF Os Belenenses
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Estrela da Amadora vs CF Os Belenenses
1:2
Aug 5, 2023 Club Friendly
CF Os Belenenses vs Estrela da Amadora
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela da Amadora 31 / 100
CF Os Belenenses 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela da Amadora CF Os Belenenses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Estrela da Amadora's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

CF Os Belenenses's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Estrela da Amadora has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estrela da Amadora VS CF Os Belenenses
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela da Amadora

(Home)
18 Jul
Estrela da Amadora
1 : 2
Casa Pia
15 Jul
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 0
Naval 1893
16 May
Braga
2 : 2
Estrela da Amadora
11 May
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 0
Famalicao
02 May
Moreirense
3 : 2
Estrela da Amadora
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CF Os Belenenses

(Away)
17 Jul
Alverca
2 : 1
CF Os Belenenses
30 May
CF Os Belenenses
0 : 0
SC Farense
23 May
SC Farense
1 : 0
CF Os Belenenses
16 May
CF Os Belenenses
3 : 1
Mafra
10 May
Varzim
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
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