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Estrela da Amadora vs Lusitano GC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estrela da Amadora in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estrela da Amadora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Estrela da Amadora
30%
Draws
23%
Lusitano GC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estrela da Amadora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Lusitano GC have won more games recently than Estrela da Amadora.
  • Win probability leans Estrela da Amadora's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Estrela da Amadora Clean Sheet 20%
Lusitano GC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela da Amadora Lusitano GC
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.46 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Estrela da Amadora vs Lusitano GC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela da Amadora 49 / 100
Lusitano GC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela da Amadora Lusitano GC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrela da Amadora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lusitano GC conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Estrela da Amadora scored in 73% of their last 26 outings.

Estrela da Amadora went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lusitano GC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Estrela da Amadora VS Lusitano GC
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela da Amadora

(Home)
20 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2
Academico Viseu
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
10 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 1
Braga
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2
Famalicao
30 Aug
Nacional
2 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
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Lusitano GC

(Away)
09 Oct
Santarem
3 : 0
Lusitano GC
12 Sept
Lusitano GC
2 : 2
Covilha
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
Lusitano GC
2 : 1
Mafra
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