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Stadium Background

Estrela da Amadora vs Lusitano GC

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estrela da Amadora in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estrela da Amadora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Estrela da Amadora
17%
Draws
13%
Lusitano GC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Estrela da Amadora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Lusitano GC have won more games recently than Estrela da Amadora.
  • Win probability leans Estrela da Amadora's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Estrela da Amadora Clean Sheet 20%
Lusitano GC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela da Amadora Lusitano GC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.88 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Estrela da Amadora vs Lusitano GC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela da Amadora 67 / 100
Lusitano GC 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela da Amadora Lusitano GC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela da Amadora found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Lusitano GC has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Estrela da Amadora went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Estrela da Amadora VS Lusitano GC
0.88 Goals Scored 0.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.67
50% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela da Amadora

(Home)
01 Aug
Estrela da Amadora
4 : 2
Al Nassr
29 Jul
Estrela da Amadora
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
29 Jul
Estrela da Amadora
1 : 1
Portimonense
23 Jul
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 0
Nacional
18 Jul
Estrela da Amadora
1 : 2
Casa Pia
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Lusitano GC

(Away)
29 Jul
Estrela da Amadora
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
15 Jul
Benfica B
1 : 1
Lusitano GC
02 May
Lusitano GC
0 : 1
Atletico CP
25 Apr
Amora
1 : 2
Lusitano GC
18 Apr
Lusitano GC
1 : 0
Covilha
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