Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estrela da Amadora vs Sporting CP

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Zalazar R.
Assist: Catamo G.
52'
Doue G.
59' Event
Ioannidis F.
Assist: Zalazar R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Portugal matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Estrela da Amadora
35%
Draws
38%
Sporting CP
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sporting CP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sporting CP lately — more wins on the board than Estrela da Amadora.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Sporting CP taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sporting CP here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Estrela da Amadora Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting CP Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela da Amadora Sporting CP
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 8 20
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.43 2.44
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga Portugal
Estrela da Amadora vs Sporting CP
2:2
Apr 11, 2026 Liga Portugal
Estrela da Amadora vs Sporting CP
0:1
Nov 30, 2025 Liga Portugal
Sporting CP vs Estrela da Amadora
4:0
Mar 29, 2025 Liga Portugal
Estrela da Amadora vs Sporting CP
0:3
Nov 1, 2024 Liga Portugal
Sporting CP vs Estrela da Amadora
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrela da Amadora Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonetti L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sporting CP Compare

Top Goalscorer Zalazar R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ioannidis F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela da Amadora 10 / 100
Sporting CP 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela da Amadora Sporting CP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting CP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:10
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Estrela da Amadora scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Sporting CP conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Estrela da Amadora remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Estrela da Amadora VS Sporting CP
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela da Amadora

(Home)
20 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2
Academico Viseu
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
10 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 1
Braga
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2
Famalicao
30 Aug
Nacional
2 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
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Sporting CP

(Away)
19 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 2
Arouca
13 Sept
Famalicao
1 : 1
Sporting CP
09 Sept
Sporting CP
3 : 1
Galatasaray
05 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 0
Nacional
28 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 4
Sporting CP
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto 7 7 0 0 18:3 21
2 Benfica 7 5 1 1 22:7 16
3 Sporting CP 7 4 3 0 17:8 15
4 Santa Clara 7 4 3 0 11:4 15
5 Arouca 7 3 2 2 10:7 11
6 Braga 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
7 Academico Viseu 7 3 2 2 9:9 11
8 Estrela da Amadora 7 2 4 1 14:14 10
9 Gil Vicente 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
10 Alverca 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
11 Maritimo 7 2 2 3 8:12 8
12 Moreirense 7 2 2 3 8:14 8
13 Famalicao 7 1 4 2 9:7 7
14 Vitoria Guimaraes 7 1 2 4 5:8 5
15 Nacional 7 1 1 5 7:15 4
16 Rio Ave 7 1 1 5 5:15 4
17 Casa Pia 7 1 1 5 3:16 4
18 Estoril 7 0 2 5 3:10 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)