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Estrela do Norte vs Doze Futebol Clube

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2016 game between Estrela do Norte and Doze Futebol Clube finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Doze Futebol Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Estrela do Norte
6%
Draws
4%
Doze Futebol Clube
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Estrela do Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Estrela do Norte carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Estrela do Norte taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Estrela do Norte Clean Sheet 20%
Doze Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela do Norte Doze Futebol Clube
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2016 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs Doze Futebol Clube
0:1
Mar 31, 2016 Capixaba
Doze Futebol Clube vs Estrela do Norte
2:1
Mar 2, 2016 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs Doze Futebol Clube
0:0
Feb 4, 2016 Capixaba
Doze Futebol Clube vs Estrela do Norte
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela do Norte 85 / 100
Doze Futebol Clube 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela do Norte Doze Futebol Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela do Norte found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Doze Futebol Clube conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Estrela do Norte has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estrela do Norte VS Doze Futebol Clube
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela do Norte

(Home)
22 Jul
Estrela do Norte
5 : 0
Pinheiros
12 Jul
Rive
0 : 2
Estrela do Norte
04 Oct
Estrela do Norte
0 : 1
Forte
28 Sept
Forte
2 : 1
Estrela do Norte
20 Sept
GEL
0 : 5
Estrela do Norte
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Doze Futebol Clube

(Away)
19 Jul
Doze Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Linhares Futebol Clube
12 Jul
Doze Futebol Clube
3 : 0
CTE Colatina
10 Mar
Serra
3 : 1
Doze Futebol Clube
03 Mar
Doze Futebol Clube
2 : 2
Rio Branco-VN
01 Mar
Doze Futebol Clube
1 : 3
Desportiva Ferroviaria
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