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Estrela do Norte vs Linhares Futebol Clube - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2 Estadio Mario Monteiro (Sumare), Cachoeiro de Itapemirim
Estrela do Norte Logo

Estrela do Norte

Sat, Sep 19, 2026
2 - 1
07:00 PM
Linhares Futebol Clube Logo

Linhares Futebol Clube

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Estrela do Norte
15%
Draws
24%
Linhares Futebol Clube
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estrela do Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Linhares Futebol Clube haven't matched Estrela do Norte's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Estrela do Norte's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Estrela do Norte have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Estrela do Norte, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Estrela do Norte Clean Sheet 68%
Linhares Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela do Norte Linhares Futebol Clube
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 17 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.58 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Capixaba 2
Estrela do Norte vs Linhares Futebol Clube
2:1
Aug 11, 2025 Capixaba 2
Estrela do Norte vs Linhares Futebol Clube
0:1
Feb 20, 2020 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs Linhares Futebol Clube
2:1
Apr 25, 2015 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs Linhares Futebol Clube
4:1
Apr 8, 2015 Capixaba
Linhares Futebol Clube vs Estrela do Norte
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela do Norte 68 / 100
Linhares Futebol Clube 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela do Norte Linhares Futebol Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrela do Norte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Estrela do Norte remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Estrela do Norte's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Linhares Futebol Clube has conceded goals in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Estrela do Norte VS Linhares Futebol Clube
2.63 Goals Scored 2.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela do Norte

(Home)
19 Sept
Estrela do Norte
2 : 1
Linhares Futebol Clube
12 Sept
Estrela do Norte
3 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
06 Sept
Audax Sao Mateus
1 : 2
Estrela do Norte
29 Aug
Sport-ES
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Aug
Estrela do Norte
4 : 0
Tupy
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Linhares Futebol Clube

(Away)
19 Sept
Estrela do Norte
2 : 1
Linhares Futebol Clube
11 Sept
Linhares Futebol Clube
2 : 0
Rive
05 Sept
Rive
1 : 0
Linhares Futebol Clube
29 Aug
CTE Colatina
0 : 9
Linhares Futebol Clube
26 Aug
Linhares Futebol Clube
0 : 1
GEL
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Estrela do Norte 5
Audax Sao Mateus 1
Linhares Futebol Clube 2
Rive 1
Final
Estrela do Norte 2
Linhares Futebol Clube 1