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Estrela do Norte vs Linhares Futebol Clube

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2 2025 Estadio Mario Monteiro (Sumare), Cachoeiro de Itapemirim
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AI Match Summary

The Capixaba 2 2025 game between Estrela do Norte and Linhares Futebol Clube finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Linhares Futebol Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Estrela do Norte
17%
Draws
13%
Linhares Futebol Clube
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Estrela do Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Linhares Futebol Clube haven't matched Estrela do Norte's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Estrela do Norte a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Capixaba 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Estrela do Norte Clean Sheet 20%
Linhares Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela do Norte Linhares Futebol Clube
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2025 Capixaba 2
Estrela do Norte vs Linhares Futebol Clube
0:1
Feb 20, 2020 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs Linhares Futebol Clube
2:1
Apr 25, 2015 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs Linhares Futebol Clube
4:1
Apr 8, 2015 Capixaba
Linhares Futebol Clube vs Estrela do Norte
0:0
Jun 7, 2014 Capixaba
Linhares Futebol Clube vs Estrela do Norte
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela do Norte 67 / 100
Linhares Futebol Clube 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela do Norte Linhares Futebol Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela do Norte scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Linhares Futebol Clube's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Estrela do Norte stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estrela do Norte VS Linhares Futebol Clube
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela do Norte

(Home)
25 Jul
Tupy
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Jul
Estrela do Norte
5 : 0
Pinheiros
12 Jul
Rive
0 : 2
Estrela do Norte
04 Oct
Estrela do Norte
0 : 1
Forte
28 Sept
Forte
2 : 1
Estrela do Norte
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Linhares Futebol Clube

(Away)
19 Jul
Doze Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Linhares Futebol Clube
12 Jul
Linhares Futebol Clube
2 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
03 Oct
Serra
3 : 2
Linhares Futebol Clube
27 Sept
Linhares Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Serra
20 Sept
Linhares Futebol Clube
0 : 0
Forte
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Serra760124:418
2Estrela do Norte750214:415
3Forte732213:411
4Linhares Futebol Clube732214:811
5Pinheiros72238:148
6Galatas72149:137
7Sport-ES72148:167
8GEL70253:302
Promotion - Capixaba 2 2025 (Play Offs)