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Estrela do Norte vs Pinheiros

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2 2025 Estadio Mario Monteiro (Sumare), Cachoeiro de Itapemirim
Estrela do Norte Logo

Estrela do Norte

0 - 1
FT
Pinheiros Logo

Pinheiros

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Capixaba 2 2025 game between Estrela do Norte and Pinheiros finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pinheiros.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Estrela do Norte
15%
Draws
0%
Pinheiros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estrela do Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Estrela do Norte carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Estrela do Norte's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Estrela do Norte Clean Sheet 68%
Pinheiros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela do Norte Pinheiros
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 2
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.29 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Capixaba 2
Estrela do Norte vs Pinheiros
5:0
Sep 15, 2025 Capixaba 2
Estrela do Norte vs Pinheiros
0:1
Mar 13, 2021 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs Pinheiros
1:1
Feb 12, 2007 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs Pinheiros
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela do Norte 95 / 100
Pinheiros 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela do Norte Pinheiros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Estrela do Norte remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Pinheiros has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Estrela do Norte found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Pinheiros has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estrela do Norte VS Pinheiros
2 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela do Norte

(Home)
08 Aug
Estrela do Norte
1 : 1
Rive
02 Aug
Estrela do Norte
2 : 0
Sport-ES
25 Jul
Tupy
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Jul
Estrela do Norte
5 : 0
Pinheiros
12 Jul
Rive
0 : 2
Estrela do Norte
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Pinheiros

(Away)
08 Aug
Pinheiros
1 : 4
Tupy
01 Aug
Rive
3 : 2
Pinheiros
22 Jul
Estrela do Norte
5 : 0
Pinheiros
17 Jul
Pinheiros
0 : 1
Sport-ES
11 Jul
Tupy
1 : 0
Pinheiros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serra 7 6 0 1 24:4 18
2 Estrela do Norte 7 5 0 2 14:4 15
3 Forte 7 3 2 2 13:4 11
4 Linhares Futebol Clube 7 3 2 2 14:8 11
5 Pinheiros 7 2 2 3 8:14 8
6 Galatas 7 2 1 4 9:13 7
7 Sport-ES 7 2 1 4 8:16 7
8 GEL 7 0 2 5 3:30 2
Promotion - Capixaba 2 2025 (Play Offs)