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Estrela do Norte vs Rio Branco-VN Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2024
Estrela do Norte Logo

Estrela do Norte

0 - 0
FT
Rio Branco-VN Logo

Rio Branco-VN

Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Carlinhos
20'
Pepeu
34'
Marcus Vinicius
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Capixaba 2024 game between Estrela do Norte and Rio Branco-VN finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Estrela do Norte
15%
Draws
39%
Rio Branco-VN
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estrela do Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Rio Branco-VN haven't matched Estrela do Norte's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Estrela do Norte a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Capixaba 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Estrela do Norte Clean Sheet 68%
Rio Branco-VN Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela do Norte Rio Branco-VN
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.57 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2024 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs Rio Branco-VN
0:0
Feb 13, 2022 Capixaba
Rio Branco-VN vs Estrela do Norte
1:1
Apr 24, 2021 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs Rio Branco-VN
2:2
Feb 3, 2020 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs Rio Branco-VN
1:2
Mar 31, 2019 Capixaba
Rio Branco-VN vs Estrela do Norte
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela do Norte 95 / 100
Rio Branco-VN 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela do Norte Rio Branco-VN

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrela do Norte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela do Norte went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Estrela do Norte scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Rio Branco-VN's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Estrela do Norte VS Rio Branco-VN
2.63 Goals Scored 1
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela do Norte

(Home)
19 Sept
Estrela do Norte
2 : 1
Linhares Futebol Clube
12 Sept
Estrela do Norte
3 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
06 Sept
Audax Sao Mateus
1 : 2
Estrela do Norte
29 Aug
Sport-ES
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Aug
Estrela do Norte
4 : 0
Tupy
Page 1 of 6

Rio Branco-VN

(Away)
01 Jul
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3
Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Vitoria ES
0 : 1
Rio Branco-VN
31 May
Sport-ES
0 : 2
Rio Branco-VN
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 9 6 1 2 13:5 19
2 Real Noroeste 9 5 3 1 17:9 18
3 Desportiva Ferroviaria 9 4 4 1 13:11 16
4 Porto Vitoria 9 4 3 2 9:8 15
5 Jaguare 9 3 5 1 8:8 14
6 Rio Branco-VN 9 2 4 3 8:9 10
7 Vitoria ES 9 2 3 4 11:11 9
8 Nova Venecia 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
9 Serra 9 1 2 6 11:16 5
10 Estrela do Norte 9 0 4 5 2:10 4
Promotion - Capixaba 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Capixaba 2 2025 (Main)