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Estrela Potiguar U20 vs Rio Grande do Norte U20

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estrela Potiguar U20 play Rio Grande do Norte U20 in the Potiguar U20 2024. Rio Grande do Norte U20 are favorites here. Recently, Estrela Potiguar U20 averaged 0.58 goals scored and 2.08 conceded. Rio Grande do Norte U20 averaged 1.88 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In past meetings, Estrela Potiguar U20 won 0, Rio Grande do Norte U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 15, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.56 for Estrela Potiguar U20 and 1.88 for Rio Grande do Norte U20. This points to a Rio Grande do Norte U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Estrela Potiguar U20
15%
Draws
75%
Rio Grande do Norte U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rio Grande do Norte U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Estrela Potiguar U20 picked up more points recently compared to Rio Grande do Norte U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.56 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Estrela Potiguar U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Rio Grande do Norte U20 Clean Sheet 22%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela Potiguar U20 Rio Grande do Norte U20
Matches Played 12 8
Wins 1 5
Draws 1 2
Losses 10 1
Goals Scored 0.58 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.08 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2024 Potiguar U20
Estrela Potiguar U20 vs Rio Grande do Norte U20
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela Potiguar U20 11 / 100
Rio Grande do Norte U20 72 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela Potiguar U20 Rio Grande do Norte U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Grande do Norte U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Rio Grande do Norte U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +400%
50.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Estrela Potiguar U20 attacking → ← attacking Rio Grande do Norte U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela Potiguar U20 scored in 42% of their last 12 games.

Rio Grande do Norte U20 let in goals in 38% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Estrela Potiguar U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Rio Grande do Norte U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

4 Points in last 5 17
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1ABC U20642011:214
2Rio Grande do Norte U20642011:214
3America RN U20632113:311
4Fabrica de Craques U20621310:127
5Globo FC U2061233:95
6Visao Celeste U2061145:174
7Estrela Potiguar U2061054:123
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1QFC U20541010:313
2Laguna U20531113:210
3CE Forca E Luz U2052125:87
4Potyguar U2052036:76
5Riachuelo AC U2051225:75
6Parnamirim U2050146:181