Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018

Estrela Vendas Novas

1 - 2

Lusitano VRSA

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lusitano VRSA in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lusitano VRSA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Estrela Vendas Novas

Draws

90%

Lusitano VRSA

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lusitano VRSA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Lusitano VRSA have won more games recently than Estrela Vendas Novas.
Model gives Lusitano VRSA a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%

Estrela Vendas Novas Clean Sheet 14%

Lusitano VRSA Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Estrela Vendas Novas	Lusitano VRSA
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	2	5
Draws	2	7
Losses	27	18
Goals Scored	0.25	0
Goals Conceded	2.25	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E

Estrela Vendas Novas vs Lusitano VRSA

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Aug 27, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E

Lusitano VRSA vs Estrela Vendas Novas

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela Vendas Novas 10 / 100

Lusitano VRSA 85 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Estrela Vendas Novas Lusitano VRSA

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusitano VRSA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Lusitano VRSA registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Estrela Vendas Novas scored in 45% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Estrela Vendas Novas VS -

0.25 Goals Scored 0

2.25 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SC Farense	30	26	3	1	66:12	81
2	Oriental	30	19	6	5	40:19	63
3	Olhanense	30	18	4	8	42:30	58
4	Casa Pia	30	16	5	9	50:31	53
5	Pinhalnovense	30	13	7	10	43:29	46
6	Louletano	30	13	5	12	43:39	44
7	Armacenenses	30	11	11	8	31:29	44
8	Moura AC	30	12	5	13	41:38	41
9	Montijo	30	9	10	11	40:44	37
10	Sporting Ideal	30	10	5	15	29:38	35
11	Estrela Vendas Novas	30	8	8	14	32:54	32
12	Operario	30	7	9	14	35:46	30
13	Almancilense	30	7	7	16	33:50	28
14	Castrense	30	5	11	14	32:47	26
15	Lusitano VRSA	30	6	7	17	24:49	25
16	Moncarapachense	30	6	5	19	27:53	23