Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estrela Vendas Novas vs Sintrense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Ribeiro E.
54' Event
Marouca J.
72' Event
Ribeiro E.

AI Match Summary

Estrela Vendas Novas host Sintrense in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Estrela Vendas Novas have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Sintrense's 0.88 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Estrela Vendas Novas have won 1 to Sintrense's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 19, 2025, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 0.99, favoring Sintrense. Sintrense in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Estrela Vendas Novas
6%
Draws
90%
Sintrense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sintrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sintrense has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Estrela Vendas Novas.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Sintrense.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Estrela Vendas Novas Clean Sheet 23%
Sintrense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela Vendas Novas Sintrense
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 2 23
Draws 2 7
Losses 26 9
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Estrela Vendas Novas vs Sintrense
0:4
Sep 22, 2024 Taça de Portugal
Sintrense vs Estrela Vendas Novas
2:1
Aug 25, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sintrense vs Estrela Vendas Novas
3:0
Aug 28, 2011 Taça de Portugal
Sintrense vs Estrela Vendas Novas
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrela Vendas Novas Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sintrense Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeiro E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Marouca J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela Vendas Novas 10 / 100
Sintrense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela Vendas Novas Sintrense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela Vendas Novas scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Sintrense let in goals in 67% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Estrela Vendas Novas went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Sintrense lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sintrense
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lusitano GC26184457:1458
2Amora26176341:1957
3Sintrense26164639:2652
4Moncarapachense26156539:1951
5Louletano26155644:2050
6Serpa26136742:2745
7Estrela da Amadora B26791035:3130
8Lagoa26791026:3530
9Industria26851335:4229
10Fabril do Barreiro26691121:3227
11Moura AC26751427:5026
12Operario26651522:4323
13FC Barreirense26571431:4722
14Estrela Vendas Novas26122312:665