Sport Picks

Mozambique

Mocambola 2016

Estrela Vermelha Maputo

4 - 2

Chingale de Tete

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Estrela Vermelha Maputo in this Mocambola 2016 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estrela Vermelha Maputo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Estrela Vermelha Maputo

20%

Draws

38%

Chingale de Tete

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estrela Vermelha Maputo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Estrela Vermelha Maputo lately — more wins on the board than Chingale de Tete.
Model gives Estrela Vermelha Maputo a 42% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Estrela Vermelha Maputo have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Estrela Vermelha Maputo Clean Sheet 20%

Chingale de Tete Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Estrela Vermelha Maputo	Chingale de Tete
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	6	5
Draws	12	11
Losses	13	13
Goals Scored	0	1.13
Goals Conceded	0	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2016 Mocambola

Estrela Vermelha Maputo vs Chingale de Tete

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

4:2

Apr 10, 2016 Mocambola

Chingale de Tete vs Estrela Vermelha Maputo

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

2:2

Sep 29, 2013 Mocambola

Chingale de Tete vs Estrela Vermelha Maputo

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Apr 21, 2013 Mocambola

Estrela Vermelha Maputo vs Chingale de Tete

Possession: 57% - 45% Cards: 0 - 0

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela Vermelha Maputo 42 / 100

Chingale de Tete 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Estrela Vermelha Maputo Chingale de Tete

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Chingale de Tete conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Estrela Vermelha Maputo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Estrela Vermelha Maputo found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Chingale de Tete

0 Goals Scored 1.13

0 Goals Conceded 0.75

0% Over 1.5 50%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferroviario Beira	30	18	7	5	40:21	61
2	UD Songo	30	16	7	7	32:14	55
3	Chibuto	30	13	11	6	35:19	50
4	Liga Desportivo Maputo	30	15	5	10	37:21	50
5	Ferroviario Nampula	30	13	11	6	37:21	50
6	Ferroviario Maputo	30	13	10	7	27:18	49
7	Maxaquene	30	11	10	9	28:26	43
8	Ferroviario Nacala	30	10	12	8	22:24	42
9	Desportivo de Nacala	30	10	10	10	39:34	40
10	Costa do Sol	30	10	8	12	34:33	38
11	ENH Vilankulo	30	9	10	11	22:28	37
12	Chingale de Tete	30	9	6	15	19:41	33
13	1º de Maio de Quelimane	30	7	11	12	30:36	32
14	Estrela Vermelha Maputo	30	6	12	12	28:36	30
15	Desportivo Maputo	30	2	13	15	15:34	19
16	Desportivo de Niassa	30	3	7	20	11:50	16