Sport Picks

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Estrella Azul vs Deportivo Maristas

Peru Peru

Copa Peru 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Garcia J.
58' Event
Rodas J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa Peru 2021 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Estrella Azul
28%
Draws
50%
Deportivo Maristas
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Deportivo Maristas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo Maristas lately — more wins on the board than Estrella Azul.
  • Deportivo Maristas are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Deportivo Maristas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Estrella Azul Clean Sheet 10%
Deportivo Maristas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrella Azul Deportivo Maristas
Matches Played 7 8
Wins 0 2
Draws 1 3
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 0.57 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.43 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.57 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.43 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2021 Copa Peru
Estrella Azul vs Deportivo Maristas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrella Azul Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.44
Avg xA / game 0.28

Deportivo Maristas Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrella Azul 22 / 100
Deportivo Maristas 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrella Azul Deportivo Maristas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Maristas let in goals in 88% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Estrella Azul found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (7 games).

Difficult form: Deportivo Maristas registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estrella Azul VS Deportivo Maristas
0.57 Goals Scored 1.38
2.43 Goals Conceded 2
86% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrella Azul

(Home)
17 Nov
Union San Martin
5 : 2
Estrella Azul
14 Nov
Estrella Azul
0 : 4
AD Tarma
10 Nov
Estrella Azul
0 : 2
Credicoop San Cristobal
07 Nov
Estrella Azul
0 : 1
Parachique
03 Nov
Estrella Azul
0 : 2
Los Caimanes
Page 1 of 2

Deportivo Maristas

(Away)
22 Nov
Credicoop San Cristobal
5 : 0
Deportivo Maristas
17 Nov
AD Tarma
2 : 1
Deportivo Maristas
14 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
2 : 2
Deportivo Maristas
10 Nov
Parachique
1 : 2
Deportivo Maristas
07 Nov
Deportivo Maristas
0 : 0
Los Caimanes
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AD Tarma742116:914
2Credicoop San Cristobal734013:613
3Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)734013:713
4Los Caimanes72417:810
5Deportivo Maristas723211:119
6Union San Martin722311:128
7Parachique712411:165
8Estrella Azul70164:171
Promotion - Copa Peru 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Peru 2021 (Play Offs)