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Estrella Azul vs Los Caimanes Prediction & H2H Stats

Peru Peru

Copa Peru 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Olmos D.
72' Event
Zambrano J.
74' Event
Zambrano J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Los Caimanes advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Estrella Azul
20%
Draws
80%
Los Caimanes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Los Caimanes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Los Caimanes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Los Caimanes a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Los Caimanes arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Los Caimanes, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Estrella Azul Clean Sheet 13%
Los Caimanes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrella Azul Los Caimanes
Matches Played 7 30
Wins 0 6
Draws 1 6
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 0.57 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.43 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2021 Copa Peru
Estrella Azul vs Los Caimanes
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrella Azul Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Los Caimanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Zambrano J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrella Azul 10 / 100
Los Caimanes 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrella Azul Los Caimanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Caimanes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Los Caimanes conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Estrella Azul scored in 43% of their last 7 games.

Los Caimanes's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Estrella Azul VS Los Caimanes
0.57 Goals Scored 0.88
2.43 Goals Conceded 2.63
86% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrella Azul

(Home)
17 Nov
Union San Martin
5 : 2
Estrella Azul
14 Nov
Estrella Azul
0 : 4
AD Tarma
10 Nov
Estrella Azul
0 : 2
Credicoop San Cristobal
07 Nov
Estrella Azul
0 : 1
Parachique
03 Nov
Estrella Azul
0 : 2
Los Caimanes
Page 1 of 2

Los Caimanes

(Away)
22 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 1
Los Caimanes
17 Nov
Parachique
1 : 2
Los Caimanes
14 Nov
Credicoop San Cristobal
1 : 1
Los Caimanes
10 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
4 : 0
Los Caimanes
07 Nov
Deportivo Maristas
0 : 0
Los Caimanes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Tarma 7 4 2 1 16:9 14
2 Credicoop San Cristobal 7 3 4 0 13:6 13
3 Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 7 3 4 0 13:7 13
4 Los Caimanes 7 2 4 1 7:8 10
5 Deportivo Maristas 7 2 3 2 11:11 9
6 Union San Martin 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
7 Parachique 7 1 2 4 11:16 5
8 Estrella Azul 7 0 1 6 4:17 1
Promotion - Copa Peru 2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Peru 2021 (Play Offs)