Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estrella de Berisso vs Defensores de Glew

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estrella de Berisso play Defensores de Glew in the Torneo Promocional Amateur. It looks like a close match. Recently, Estrella de Berisso averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Defensores de Glew averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Estrella de Berisso won 1, Defensores de Glew won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 23, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Estrella de Berisso and 1.69 for Defensores de Glew. This points to a Defensores de Glew double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Estrella de Berisso
34%
Draws
37%
Defensores de Glew
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Defensores de Glew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Estrella de Berisso picked up more points recently compared to Defensores de Glew.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Estrella de Berisso Clean Sheet 13%
Defensores de Glew Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrella de Berisso Defensores de Glew
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Estrella de Berisso vs Defensores de Glew
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Estrella de Berisso vs Defensores de Glew
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Defensores de Glew vs Estrella de Berisso
4:1
Sep 4, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Estrella de Berisso vs Defensores de Glew
1:0
Apr 7, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Defensores de Glew vs Estrella de Berisso
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrella de Berisso 29 / 100
Defensores de Glew 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrella de Berisso Defensores de Glew

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Defensores de Glew or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Estrella de Berisso attacking → ← attacking Defensores de Glew

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrella de Berisso scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Defensores de Glew let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Estrella de Berisso went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensores de Glew lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 42
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Deportivo Metalurgico650111:315
2Social Atletico Television65017:215
3Nautico Hacoaj63217:311
4Defensores de Glew631214:710
5Estrella de Berisso62226:68
6Provincial61143:94
7Atletico Pilar61054:113
8Juventud de Bernal61054:153
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Barrancas85129:616
2Uribelarrea74217:314
3Academia Control Orientado63218:511
4Buenos Aires City72325:49
5Belgrano Zarate72323:39
6Everton La Plata72235:68
7Ezeiza61322:46
8Las Mandarinas72056:116
9Alumni Los Hornos71244:75