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Estrella vs Juticalpa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional
Estrella Logo

Estrella

5 - 2
FT
Juticalpa Logo

Juticalpa

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Lopez J.
Own Goal
25'
Juarez L.
28'
Rochez C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Estrella in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estrella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Estrella
15%
Draws
36%
Juticalpa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estrella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Estrella haven't matched Juticalpa's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Estrella Clean Sheet 15%
Juticalpa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrella Juticalpa
Matches Played 10 29
Wins 3 5
Draws 3 6
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 1.5 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga Nacional
Estrella vs Juticalpa
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrella Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Juticalpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rochez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrella 31 / 100
Juticalpa 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrella Juticalpa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juticalpa let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Estrella scored in 60% of their last 10 games.

Difficult form: Juticalpa registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estrella VS Juticalpa
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrella

(Home)
18 Oct
Genesis FC
1 : 2
Estrella
11 Oct
Estrella
0 : 1
Real Espana
19 Sept
CD Choloma
2 : 0
Estrella
12 Sept
Estrella
2 : 2
Platense
06 Sept
Marathon
5 : 0
Estrella
Page 1 of 2

Juticalpa

(Away)
17 Oct
Juticalpa
1 : 2
CD Choloma
09 Oct
Platense
2 : 1
Juticalpa
21 Sept
Juticalpa
3 : 2
Marathon
14 Sept
Atletico Independiente
2 : 1
Juticalpa
07 Sept
Juticalpa
0 : 3
Genesis FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 10 7 2 1 22:8 23
2 Marathon 10 6 3 1 16:7 21
3 Real Espana 10 6 3 1 15:6 21
4 Motagua 10 6 1 3 15:9 19
5 Olancho 10 2 6 2 8:8 12
6 Lobos UPNFM 10 3 3 4 11:12 12
7 Estrella 10 3 3 4 15:18 12
8 Genesis FC 10 3 2 5 11:9 11
9 CD Choloma 10 3 1 6 9:11 10
10 Atletico Independiente 10 2 4 4 8:16 10
11 Platense 10 2 2 6 8:21 8
12 Juticalpa 10 2 0 8 10:23 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)