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Estrella vs Real Union Tenerife - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estrella host Real Union Tenerife in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Estrella at 0.9 goals for, 1.34 against; Real Union Tenerife at 1.18 for, 0.75 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 0.94) point toward Real Union Tenerife. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Estrella
20%
Draws
57%
Real Union Tenerife
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Union Tenerife

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Union Tenerife have won more games recently than Estrella.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Real Union Tenerife taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Estrella Clean Sheet 20%
Real Union Tenerife Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrella Real Union Tenerife
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrella 12 / 100
Real Union Tenerife 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrella Real Union Tenerife

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Union Tenerife Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrella's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Real Union Tenerife's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Estrella went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Real Union Tenerife's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Estrella VS Real Union Tenerife
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrella

(Home)
18 Oct
CD Marino
1 : 0
Estrella
10 Oct
Estrella
1 : 0
Los Llanos
04 Oct
UD San Fernando
3 : 0
Estrella
25 Sept
Estrella
1 : 1
Las Palmas C
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2
Estrella
Page 1 of 6

Real Union Tenerife

(Away)
17 Oct
Real Union Tenerife
1 : 1
Union Sur Yaiza
10 Oct
UD Playas de Sotavento
0 : 3
Real Union Tenerife
02 Oct
Real Union Tenerife
1 : 0
CD Laguna
26 Sept
Real Union Tenerife
2 : 0
Panaderia
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1
Real Union Tenerife
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD San Fernando 6 5 0 1 16:2 15
2 Panaderia 6 4 1 1 18:12 13
3 Real Union Tenerife 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
4 Mensajero 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
5 CD Marino 6 3 1 2 14:8 10
6 Tenerife C 6 3 1 2 14:11 10
7 Los Llanos 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
8 San Miguel 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
9 Las Palmas C 6 2 3 1 11:8 9
10 San Bartolome 6 2 3 1 11:10 9
11 Union Sur Yaiza 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
12 Estrella 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
13 Lanzarote 6 1 3 2 5:8 6
14 Villa Santa Brigida 6 1 3 2 5:9 6
15 Anaza 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
16 CD Laguna 6 0 2 4 7:13 2
17 Villaverde Norte 6 0 2 4 5:13 2
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 6 0 2 4 4:19 2
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)