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Estrella vs Sporting - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor
Estrella Logo

Estrella

Mon, Nov 16, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Sporting Logo

Sporting

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Estrella host Sporting in the Division di Honor. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Estrella have averaged 2 scored and 3.21 conceded recently, against Sporting's 2.62 scored and 1.72 conceded. Past meetings favor Estrella slightly — 2-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 2, 2025, ending 1:3. The numbers (2.31 xG vs 2.13) point toward Sporting. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Estrella
30%
Draws
47%
Sporting
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting have won more games recently than Estrella.
  • Model gives Sporting a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Estrella have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Estrella Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrella Sporting
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 2 2.62
Goals Conceded 3.21 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2025 Division di Honor
Estrella vs Sporting
1:3
Mar 23, 2011 Division di Honor
Sporting vs Estrella
0:1
Oct 23, 2010 Division di Honor
Estrella vs Sporting
9:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrella 26 / 100
Sporting 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrella Sporting

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrella found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Sporting conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Estrella went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estrella VS Sporting
2.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrella

(Home)
25 Jun
Caravel
1 : 6
Estrella
02 Jun
Estrella
0 : 4
Jong Aruba
24 May
Estrella
1 : 5
River Plate
21 May
Estrella
1 : 2
Caiquetio
13 May
Brazil Juniors
2 : 2
Estrella
Page 1 of 6

Sporting

(Away)
18 Jul
Britannia
3 : 1
Sporting
16 Jun
SV Dakota
0 : 2
Sporting
10 Jun
Britannia
0 : 0
Sporting
31 May
Sporting
2 : 2
La Fama
23 May
La Fama
1 : 2
Sporting
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Fama 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Bubali 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Deportivo Nacional 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Britannia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Estrella 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Racing Club Aruba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 SV Dakota 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Caiquetio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 River Plate 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Sporting 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division di Honor (Winners stage)
Relegation - Division di Honor (Relegation)