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Estudiantes L.P. 2 vs Defensa y Justicia 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Sagues B.
53' Event
Penalty Missed
86'

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League game between Estudiantes L.P. 2 and Defensa y Justicia 2 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estudiantes L.P. 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Estudiantes L.P. 2
30%
Draws
29%
Defensa y Justicia 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estudiantes L.P. 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Defensa y Justicia 2 haven't matched Estudiantes L.P. 2's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Estudiantes L.P. 2's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Estudiantes L.P. 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Defensa y Justicia 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantes L.P. 2 Defensa y Justicia 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Reserve League
Estudiantes L.P. 2 vs Defensa y Justicia 2
2:0
Apr 28, 2026 Reserve League
Defensa y Justicia 2 vs Estudiantes L.P. 2
2:2
Sep 9, 2025 Reserve League
Estudiantes L.P. 2 vs Defensa y Justicia 2
0:1
Apr 9, 2025 Reserve League
Defensa y Justicia 2 vs Estudiantes L.P. 2
0:1
Aug 27, 2024 Reserve League
Defensa y Justicia 2 vs Estudiantes L.P. 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estudiantes L.P. 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sagues B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silveti F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Defensa y Justicia 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes L.P. 2 41 / 100
Defensa y Justicia 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantes L.P. 2 Defensa y Justicia 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensa y Justicia 2 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Estudiantes L.P. 2 scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Estudiantes L.P. 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes L.P. 2 VS Defensa y Justicia 2
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Estudiantes L.P. 2

(Home)
06 Oct
Newells Old Boys 2
1 : 1
Estudiantes L.P. 2
29 Sept
Estudiantes L.P. 2
2 : 0
Defensa y Justicia 2
23 Sept
Gimnasia L.P. 2
2 : 0
Estudiantes L.P. 2
17 Sept
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
1 : 0
Estudiantes L.P. 2
10 Sept
Estudiantes L.P. 2
3 : 1
Huracan 2
Page 1 of 6

Defensa y Justicia 2

(Away)
06 Oct
Defensa y Justicia 2
1 : 1
Quilmes 2
29 Sept
Estudiantes L.P. 2
2 : 0
Defensa y Justicia 2
23 Sept
Defensa y Justicia 2
2 : 1
Tigre 2
15 Sept
Defensa y Justicia 2
2 : 3
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
09 Sept
San Martin S.J. 2
1 : 1
Defensa y Justicia 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 2 12 5 7 0 20:10 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 2 12 5 5 2 12:4 20
3 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 12 6 2 4 14:12 20
4 Rosario Central 2 12 5 5 2 17:16 20
5 Gimnasia L.P. 2 12 4 5 3 13:8 17
6 Sarmiento Junin 2 12 4 5 3 11:8 17
7 Godoy Cruz 2 12 4 5 3 14:12 17
8 San Lorenzo 2 12 5 2 5 13:11 17
9 Talleres Cordoba 2 12 4 5 3 12:11 17
10 Union de Santa Fe 2 12 3 7 2 17:10 16
11 Instituto 2 12 3 6 3 15:16 15
12 Atl. Tucuman 2 12 4 3 5 9:13 15
13 Tigre 2 12 4 2 6 15:20 14
14 Racing Club 2 12 2 7 3 19:20 13
15 Aldosivi 2 12 2 5 5 10:14 11
16 Argentinos Jrs 2 12 2 5 5 7:12 11
17 Banfield 2 12 2 3 7 10:22 9
18 Barracas Central 2 12 1 5 6 8:19 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 12 8 3 1 25:9 27
2 Lanus 2 12 8 2 2 23:13 26
3 Deportivo Riestra 2 12 7 2 3 22:11 23
4 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 12 6 5 1 13:7 23
5 Boca Juniors 2 12 6 4 2 16:8 22
6 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 12 6 4 2 19:17 22
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 12 6 3 3 19:11 21
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 12 5 4 3 14:14 19
9 Huracan 2 12 5 2 5 14:10 17
10 Quilmes 2 12 4 4 4 10:10 16
11 Newells Old Boys 2 12 3 5 4 14:12 14
12 Defensa y Justicia 2 12 2 6 4 18:19 12
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 12 3 3 6 10:19 12
14 San Martin S.J. 2 12 2 4 6 9:21 10
15 Ind. Rivadavia 2 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
16 Colon Santa Fe 2 12 2 2 8 8:17 8
17 Platense 2 12 0 7 5 6:15 7
18 Ferro 2 12 1 3 8 9:24 6
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)