Sport Picks

Argentina

Reserve League

Gimnasia L.P. 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Estudiantes L.P. 2 play Gimnasia L.P. 2 in the Reserve League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Estudiantes L.P. 2 averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded. Gimnasia L.P. 2 averaged 0.63 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Estudiantes L.P. 2 won 4, Gimnasia L.P. 2 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 22, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Estudiantes L.P. 2 and 0.81 for Gimnasia L.P. 2. This points to a Estudiantes L.P. 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Estudiantes L.P. 2

Draws

Gimnasia L.P. 2

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Estudiantes L.P. 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Gimnasia L.P. 2 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Estudiantes L.P. 2.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Estudiantes L.P. 2.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Reserve League provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Estudiantes L.P. 2 Clean Sheet 68%

Gimnasia L.P. 2 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Estudiantes L.P. 2	Gimnasia L.P. 2
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	10	13
Draws	9	8
Losses	10	9
Goals Scored	1.5	0.63
Goals Conceded	1	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Reserve League

Estudiantes L.P. 2 vs Gimnasia L.P. 2

Possession: 43% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Sep 3, 2025 Reserve League

Estudiantes L.P. 2 vs Gimnasia L.P. 2

Possession: 59% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

May 8, 2025 Reserve League

Gimnasia L.P. 2 vs Estudiantes L.P. 2

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Sep 7, 2024 Reserve League

Gimnasia L.P. 2 vs Estudiantes L.P. 2

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

0:2

Apr 4, 2024 Reserve League

Estudiantes L.P. 2 vs Gimnasia L.P. 2

Possession: 52% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estudiantes L.P. 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dominguez F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Gimnasia L.P. 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes L.P. 2 95 / 100

Gimnasia L.P. 2 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Estudiantes L.P. 2 Gimnasia L.P. 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estudiantes L.P. 2 scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Gimnasia L.P. 2 let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Estudiantes L.P. 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gimnasia L.P. 2 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes L.P. 2 VS Gimnasia L.P. 2

1.5 Goals Scored 0.63

1 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Velez Sarsfield 2	18	14	2	2	40:11	44
2	River Plate 2	18	9	4	5	24:17	31
3	Racing Club 2	18	8	6	4	27:23	30
4	Atl. Tucuman 2	18	9	3	6	26:25	30
5	Union de Santa Fe 2	18	7	8	3	23:19	29
6	Argentinos Jrs 2	18	7	7	4	24:18	28
7	Talleres Cordoba 2	18	7	5	6	27:21	26
8	Rosario Central 2	18	7	5	6	25:22	26
9	Instituto 2	18	5	9	4	20:21	24
10	San Lorenzo 2	18	6	6	6	22:24	24
11	Gimnasia L.P. 2	18	6	5	7	19:17	23
12	Gimnasia Mendoza 2	18	6	5	7	16:19	23
13	Banfield 2	18	6	5	7	14:18	23
14	Aldosivi 2	18	5	3	10	17:28	18
15	Barracas Central 2	18	4	5	9	11:24	17
16	Sarmiento Junin 2	18	4	4	10	16:26	16
17	Tigre 2	18	4	4	10	15:25	16
18	Godoy Cruz 2	18	4	3	11	20:30	15

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Boca Juniors 2	18	11	3	4	33:11	36
2	Independiente 2	18	11	3	4	36:16	36
3	Lanus 2	18	11	2	5	39:24	35
4	Newells Old Boys 2	18	10	4	4	26:16	34
5	Quilmes 2	18	10	3	5	20:12	33
6	Defensa y Justicia 2	18	9	5	4	38:24	32
7	Estudiantes L.P. 2	18	8	4	6	25:16	28
8	CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2	18	8	3	7	27:29	27
9	Huracan 2	18	7	5	6	23:17	26
10	Platense 2	18	7	5	6	17:20	26
11	Deportivo Riestra 2	18	7	4	7	25:18	25
12	Ind. Rivadavia 2	18	7	3	8	23:23	24
13	Ferro 2	18	6	4	8	20:23	22
14	Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2	18	5	4	9	21:33	19
15	Colon Santa Fe 2	18	5	3	10	15:23	18
16	Atl. Rafaela 2	18	3	3	12	21:36	12
17	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2	18	2	5	11	9:32	11
18	San Martin S.J. 2	18	2	2	14	16:59	8