Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Castro A.
Assist: Mancuso E.
6'
Angileri F.
10'
Kaio Cesar

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Estudiantes L.P.
20%
Draws
10%
Corinthians
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estudiantes L.P.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Estudiantes L.P. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Estudiantes L.P.'s way, sitting at 70%.
  • Estudiantes L.P. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Estudiantes L.P. Clean Sheet 68%
Corinthians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantes L.P. Corinthians
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.
0:1
Sep 10, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians
1:1
Aug 30, 2023 Copa Sudamericana
Estudiantes L.P. vs Corinthians
1:1
Aug 23, 2023 Copa Sudamericana
Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estudiantes L.P. Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Corinthians Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaio Cesar
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes L.P. 77 / 100
Corinthians 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantes L.P. Corinthians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estudiantes L.P. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estudiantes L.P. scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Corinthians has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Estudiantes L.P. went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes L.P. VS Corinthians
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Estudiantes L.P.

(Home)
22 Sept
Lanus
2 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
17 Sept
Corinthians
0 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
12 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
2 : 1
Platense
10 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 1
Corinthians
06 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 0
Estudiantes L.P.
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Corinthians

(Away)
20 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 3
Fluminense
17 Sept
Corinthians
0 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Corinthians
10 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 1
Corinthians
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2
Chapecoense-SC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 4
U. Catolica 1
Rosario Central 0
Corinthians 1
Deportes Tolima 1
Independiente del Valle 4
Cruzeiro 2
Flamengo RJ 3
Mirassol 1
LDU Quito 2
Palmeiras 2
Cerro Porteno 1
Platense 2
Coquimbo 1
Fluminense 2
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Quarter-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 2
Corinthians 1
Independiente del Valle 1
Flamengo RJ 3
LDU Quito 3
Palmeiras 4
Platense 2
Fluminense 3
Semi-finals
Estudiantes L.P. -
Flamengo RJ -
Palmeiras -
Fluminense -
Final
TBD -
TBD -