Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo RJ

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Palacios T.
21'
Sub
de Arrascaeta G. In: Carrascal J.
Out: de Arrascaeta G.
33' Event
Luiz Araujo
Assist: Bruno Henrique

AI Match Summary

The Copa Libertadores game between Estudiantes L.P. and Flamengo RJ finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Estudiantes L.P.
22%
Draws
60%
Flamengo RJ
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Flamengo RJ carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Flamengo RJ a 60% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Libertadores fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Estudiantes L.P. Clean Sheet 26%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantes L.P. Flamengo RJ
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 19
Draws 7 5
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Flamengo RJ vs Estudiantes L.P.
1:0
Apr 30, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo RJ
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 Copa Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo RJ
1:1
Sep 19, 2025 Copa Libertadores
Flamengo RJ vs Estudiantes L.P.
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estudiantes L.P. Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrillo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Flamengo RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiz Araujo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes L.P. 21 / 100
Flamengo RJ 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantes L.P. Flamengo RJ

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estudiantes L.P. found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Estudiantes L.P. has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Flamengo RJ's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes L.P. VS Flamengo RJ
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo RJ651014:216
2Estudiantes L.P.62316:59
3Ind. Medellin62136:117
4Cusco60154:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coquimbo63128:610
2Deportes Tolima62227:68
3Club Nacional62227:98
4Universitario de Deportes61325:66
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Rivadavia651015:616
2Fluminense62227:78
3Bolivar61236:85
4Deportivo La Guaira60336:133
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. Catolica64118:413
2Cruzeiro63218:311
3Boca Juniors62136:57
4Barcelona SC61052:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians63218:411
2Platense63128:710
3Santa Fe62226:78
4Penarol60334:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cerro Porteno64116:213
2Palmeiras632110:511
3Sporting Cristal62046:96
4Junior61145:114
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1LDU Quito64028:512
2Mirassol64027:412
3Lanus63033:79
4Always Ready61057:93
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle641111:613
2Rosario Central64119:113
3Universidad Central63037:119
4Libertad Asuncion60064:130