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Estudiantes L.P. vs Newells Old Boys - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Mancuso E. In: Meza E.
Out: Mancuso E.
46'
Sub
Piovi L. In: Castro A.
Out: Piovi L.
55'
Gonzalez Pirez L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Estudiantes L.P.
35%
Draws
35%
Newells Old Boys
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Estudiantes L.P. lately — more wins on the board than Newells Old Boys.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Estudiantes L.P. Clean Sheet 20%
Newells Old Boys Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantes L.P. Newells Old Boys
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 17 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.31 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.84 0.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Liga Profesional
Estudiantes L.P. vs Newells Old Boys
0:0
Feb 25, 2026 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Estudiantes L.P.
0:2
Sep 30, 2025 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Estudiantes L.P.
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Liga Profesional
Estudiantes L.P. vs Newells Old Boys
1:1
Aug 2, 2024 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Estudiantes L.P.
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes L.P. 32 / 100
Newells Old Boys 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantes L.P. Newells Old Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Estudiantes L.P. scored in 66% of their last 35 outings.

Newells Old Boys's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Estudiantes L.P. remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes L.P. VS Newells Old Boys
1.25 Goals Scored 0.71
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.43
63% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 14%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Estudiantes L.P.

(Home)
05 Oct
Estudiantes L.P.
3 : 0
Gimnasia Mendoza
02 Oct
Platense
1 : 0
Estudiantes L.P.
26 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 3
Rosario Central
22 Sept
Lanus
2 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
17 Sept
Corinthians
0 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
Page 1 of 7

Newells Old Boys

(Away)
03 Oct
Newells Old Boys
0 : 0
Lanus
20 Sept
Platense
0 : 1
Newells Old Boys
11 Sept
Newells Old Boys
1 : 1
Velez Sarsfield
06 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys
31 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 0
Newells Old Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 12 8 2 2 19:10 26
2 Boca Juniors 12 5 6 1 19:13 21
3 Velez Sarsfield 11 5 6 0 17:11 21
4 Defensa y Justicia 11 6 3 2 16:11 21
5 Lanus 11 5 2 4 13:9 17
6 Newells Old Boys 11 4 5 2 11:8 17
7 Gimnasia Mendoza 11 5 2 4 14:12 17
8 Independiente 11 5 2 4 11:12 17
9 Estudiantes L.P. 11 4 1 6 13:11 13
10 Union de Santa Fe 11 4 1 6 17:19 13
11 Deportivo Riestra 11 2 5 4 9:11 11
12 San Lorenzo 11 3 2 6 4:11 11
13 Platense 11 2 4 5 11:17 10
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 11 2 3 6 8:14 9
15 Talleres Cordoba 11 2 2 7 11:18 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 11 6 3 2 15:10 21
2 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 11 5 4 2 12:7 19
3 Sarmiento Junin 11 6 1 4 20:17 19
4 Rosario Central 11 5 4 2 12:9 19
5 Huracan 11 5 4 2 11:8 19
6 Gimnasia L.P. 12 5 4 3 17:17 19
7 Ind. Rivadavia 11 5 3 3 15:14 18
8 Barracas Central 11 4 3 4 8:9 15
9 Atl. Tucuman 12 3 5 4 10:10 14
10 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
11 Tigre 11 3 3 5 10:11 12
12 Racing Club 11 3 2 6 13:17 11
13 Banfield 11 2 4 5 12:17 10
14 Aldosivi 12 2 2 8 13:20 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 11 1 3 7 6:15 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)