Sport Picks
Estudiantes Merida vs Deportivo La Guaira
Venezuela
Liga FUTVE Estadio Metropolitano de Mérida 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga FUTVE game between Estudiantes Merida and Deportivo La Guaira finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo La Guaira.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Estudiantes Merida come out ahead of Deportivo La Guaira on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Deportivo La Guaira here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Estudiantes Merida | Deportivo La Guaira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 14 |
| Losses | 16 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Estudiantes Merida Compare
Deportivo La Guaira Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Estudiantes Merida found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Deportivo La Guaira has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Deportivo La Guaira has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo La Guaira | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 15:6 | 27 |
| 2 | Metropolitanos | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:10 | 25 |
| 3 | Dep. Tachira | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17:12 | 24 |
| 4 | Universidad Central | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24:20 | 23 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Merida | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21:18 | 20 |
| 7 | Carabobo | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 23:14 | 19 |
| 8 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Zamora | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14:14 | 17 |
| 10 | Caracas | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Rayo Zuliano | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 12 | Monagas | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14:22 | 11 |
| 13 | Academia Anzoategui | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | 9 |
| 14 | Trujillanos | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9:26 | 4 |