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Stadium Background

Estudiantes Merida vs Metropolitanos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Metropolitano de Mérida, Mérida
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estudiantes Merida host Metropolitanos in the Liga FUTVE. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Estudiantes Merida at 1.11 goals for, 1.18 against; Metropolitanos at 1.57 for, 0.71 against. Past meetings favor Metropolitanos slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.69, favoring Metropolitanos. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Estudiantes Merida
15%
Draws
67%
Metropolitanos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metropolitanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Metropolitanos have won more games recently than Estudiantes Merida.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Metropolitanos taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Metropolitanos have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Estudiantes Merida Clean Sheet 13%
Metropolitanos Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantes Merida Metropolitanos
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 19
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.11 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Metropolitanos
0:1
May 8, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes Merida
2:0
Apr 26, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes Merida
2:0
Sep 12, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Metropolitanos vs Estudiantes Merida
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Metropolitanos
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes Merida 10 / 100
Metropolitanos 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantes Merida Metropolitanos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metropolitanos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Estudiantes Merida scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Metropolitanos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.

Estudiantes Merida has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes Merida VS Metropolitanos
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Estudiantes Merida

(Home)
11 Oct
Monagas
2 : 1
Estudiantes Merida
20 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1
Trujillanos
16 Sept
Portuguesa
2 : 1
Estudiantes Merida
12 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
2 : 0
Dep. Tachira
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Estudiantes Merida
Page 1 of 6

Metropolitanos

(Away)
10 Oct
Metropolitanos
4 : 0
Rayo Zuliano
20 Sept
Zamora
1 : 3
Metropolitanos
16 Sept
Metropolitanos
3 : 0
Caracas
12 Sept
Academia Anzoategui
0 : 2
Metropolitanos
06 Sept
Monagas
0 : 1
Metropolitanos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitanos 12 10 1 1 28:9 31
2 Dep. Tachira 12 8 2 2 28:15 26
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 12 6 4 2 16:9 22
4 Carabobo 12 6 3 3 13:8 21
5 Portuguesa 12 4 6 2 14:12 18
6 Deportivo La Guaira 12 5 2 5 21:16 17
7 Monagas 12 5 2 5 14:14 17
8 Estudiantes Merida 12 4 4 4 13:14 16
9 Universidad Central 12 4 3 5 13:15 15
10 Caracas 12 3 5 4 13:15 14
11 Trujillanos 12 3 2 7 12:19 11
12 Rayo Zuliano 12 3 2 7 17:27 11
13 Zamora 12 2 2 8 11:25 8
14 Academia Anzoategui 12 1 2 9 6:21 5
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)