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Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Ciudad de Río Cuarto Antonio Candini, Cordoba
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Maffini G.
Own Goal
14'
Maffini G.
42'
Sub
Gimenez U. In: Gonzalez G.
Out: Gimenez U.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Profesional game between Estudiantes Rio Cuarto and Sarmiento Junin finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarmiento Junin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
30%
Draws
54%
Sarmiento Junin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sarmiento Junin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Estudiantes Rio Cuarto haven't matched Sarmiento Junin's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sarmiento Junin's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Sarmiento Junin have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Clean Sheet 17%
Sarmiento Junin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Sarmiento Junin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.47 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Liga Profesional
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin
0:2
Mar 3, 2026 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
1:0
Jan 16, 2021 Primera Nacional
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Sarmiento Junin
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 15 / 100
Sarmiento Junin 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Sarmiento Junin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarmiento Junin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarmiento Junin has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Estudiantes Rio Cuarto scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Estudiantes Rio Cuarto remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto VS Sarmiento Junin
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

(Home)
20 Sept
CA Belgrano de Cordoba
2 : 1
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
15 Sept
Instituto
2 : 1
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
04 Sept
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 2
Sarmiento Junin
29 Aug
Huracan
1 : 1
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
21 Aug
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 0
San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6

Sarmiento Junin

(Away)
19 Sept
Racing Club
3 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
13 Sept
Sarmiento Junin
1 : 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba
04 Sept
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 2
Sarmiento Junin
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
23 Aug
Sarmiento Junin
2 : 0
Estudiantes L.P.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 10 7 1 2 13:7 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 10 5 5 0 15:9 20
3 Defensa y Justicia 10 5 3 2 13:11 18
4 Gimnasia Mendoza 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
5 Boca Juniors 10 4 5 1 14:11 17
6 Independiente 10 5 2 3 10:8 17
7 Newells Old Boys 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
8 Lanus 9 4 1 4 11:8 13
9 Union de Santa Fe 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
10 San Lorenzo 10 3 2 5 4:8 11
11 Estudiantes L.P. 9 3 1 5 9:9 10
12 Deportivo Riestra 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
13 Platense 10 2 3 5 9:15 9
14 Talleres Cordoba 10 2 2 6 11:17 8
15 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 10 2 2 6 7:13 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 10 5 3 2 13:9 18
2 Rosario Central 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Ind. Rivadavia 10 5 2 3 14:13 17
4 Gimnasia L.P. 10 5 2 3 15:15 17
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 10 4 4 2 11:7 16
6 Huracan 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Sarmiento Junin 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
8 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
9 Atl. Tucuman 10 3 4 3 7:6 13
10 Tigre 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
11 Barracas Central 10 3 3 4 5:7 12
12 Banfield 10 2 3 5 11:16 9
13 Aldosivi 10 2 2 6 12:16 8
14 Racing Club 10 2 2 6 11:16 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 10 1 3 6 5:13 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)