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AI Match Summary
Eswatini host Morocco in the COSAFA Cup. This has Morocco written all over it on paper. Eswatini have averaged 0.5 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Morocco's 1.75 scored and 0.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Eswatini slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 11, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.38 vs 1.88, favoring Morocco. Morocco in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Morocco has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Eswatini.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Morocco.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in COSAFA Cup provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Eswatini | Morocco |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 24 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 0.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 0.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Eswatini scored in 45% of their last 29 games.
Morocco let in goals in 37% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 0.00 goals.
Eswatini went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Morocco lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 2 | Zimbabwe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Mozambique | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Mauritius | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0:0 | 3 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Namibia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:1 | 5 |
| 3 | Lesotho | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madagascar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 2 | Tanzania | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Eswatini | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 4 | Morocco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comoros | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 2 | Botswana | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 3 | Zambia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 1 |