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Esztergom vs Zalaszentgroti

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esztergom play Zalaszentgroti in the Hungarian Cup 2021/2022. Zalaszentgroti are favorites here. Recently, Esztergom averaged 0 goals scored and 5.5 conceded. Zalaszentgroti averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Esztergom won 0, Zalaszentgroti won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 7, 2021 ended 0:7. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Esztergom and 3.81 for Zalaszentgroti. This points to a Zalaszentgroti double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Esztergom
25%
Draws
60%
Zalaszentgroti
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Zalaszentgroti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Esztergom picked up more points recently compared to Zalaszentgroti.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 3.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Esztergom Clean Sheet 10%
Zalaszentgroti Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esztergom Zalaszentgroti
Matches Played 2 15
Wins 0 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 0 2.13
Goals Conceded 5.5 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2021 Hungarian Cup
Esztergom vs Zalaszentgroti
0:7

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esztergom 16 / 100
Zalaszentgroti 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esztergom Zalaszentgroti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalaszentgroti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Zalaszentgroti & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Esztergom attacking → ← attacking Zalaszentgroti

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esztergom scored in 0% of their last 2 games.

Zalaszentgroti let in goals in 67% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Esztergom went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Zalaszentgroti lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 21
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
5.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00