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Etar II vs Sevlievo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Etar II host Sevlievo in the Third League - North-West. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Etar II at 1.69 goals for, 1.55 against; Sevlievo at 1.07 for, 1.67 against. Past meetings favor Sevlievo slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2025, ending 2:0. xG projections (2.19 - 1.38) back Sevlievo to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Etar II
20%
Draws
46%
Sevlievo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sevlievo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Etar II's 1.69 goals per match outpaces what Sevlievo have produced (1.07).
  • Etar II are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Etar II Clean Sheet 17%
Sevlievo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etar II Sevlievo
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.69 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Third League - North-West
Sevlievo vs Etar II
2:0
Sep 8, 2024 Third League - North-West
Etar II vs Sevlievo
1:5
Apr 7, 2024 Third League - North-West
Sevlievo vs Etar II
4:0
Sep 24, 2023 Third League - North-West
Etar II vs Sevlievo
2:1
Apr 23, 2023 Third League - North-West
Etar II vs Sevlievo
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etar II 39 / 100
Sevlievo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etar II Sevlievo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etar II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Etar II's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sevlievo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Etar II stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Etar II VS Sevlievo
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Etar II

(Home)
17 Oct
Pavlikeni
2 : 0
Etar II
11 Oct
Etar II
9 : 3
Spartak Pleven II
26 Sept
Etar II
1 : 3
Yantra Polski Trambesh
12 Sept
Partizan Cerven Brjag
1 : 0
Etar II
05 Sept
Etar II
3 : 0
Juventus Malchika
Page 1 of 6

Sevlievo

(Away)
10 Oct
Kom Berkovitsa
0 : 0
Sevlievo
19 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Sevlievo
12 Sept
Sevlievo
2 : 0
OFK Levski
05 Sept
Pavlikeni
0 : 1
Sevlievo
29 Aug
Sevlievo
2 : 2
Spartak Pleven II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademik Svishtov 7 5 2 0 15:5 17
2 Kom Berkovitsa 8 3 4 1 16:13 13
3 Lokomotiv Mezdra 6 2 4 0 11:6 10
4 Yantra Polski Trambesh 7 2 4 1 17:15 10
5 Sevlievo 6 2 3 1 7:5 9
6 Bdin Vidin 7 3 0 4 14:16 9
7 Partizan Cerven Brjag 7 2 3 2 7:9 9
8 OFK Levski 6 2 2 2 7:5 8
9 Chavdar Troyan 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
10 Pavlikeni 8 2 0 6 7:13 6
11 Spartak Pleven II 8 1 3 4 15:27 6
12 Etar II 6 1 1 4 14:14 4
13 Juventus Malchika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)