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Etar II vs Tryavna

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2020/2021 Ivajlo Stadion, Veliko Tarnovo
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2020/2021 game between Etar II and Tryavna finished 8-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Etar II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Etar II
15%
Draws
0%
Tryavna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etar II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tryavna haven't matched Etar II's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Etar II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Etar II Clean Sheet 20%
Tryavna Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etar II Tryavna
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 15 2
Draws 8 2
Losses 18 26
Goals Scored 1.61 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.39 3.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2021 Third League - North-West
Etar II vs Tryavna
8:1
Sep 9, 2020 Third League - North-West
Tryavna vs Etar II
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etar II 85 / 100
Tryavna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etar II Tryavna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etar II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tryavna let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Tryavna registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Etar II scored in 78% of their last 41 games.

Scoring Trends

Etar II VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Etar II

(Home)
26 Sept
Etar II
1 : 3
Yantra Polski Trambesh
12 Sept
Partizan Cerven Brjag
1 : 0
Etar II
05 Sept
Etar II
3 : 0
Juventus Malchika
30 Aug
Akademik Svishtov
3 : 2
Etar II
22 Aug
Etar II
2 : 2
Kom Berkovitsa
Page 1 of 9

Tryavna

(Away)
30 May
Spartak Pleven
9 : 1
Tryavna
23 May
Tryavna
0 : 4
Bdin Vidin
19 May
Tryavna
0 : 2
OFK Levski
16 May
Parva Atomna
2 : 0
Tryavna
09 May
Tryavna
0 : 2
Akademik Svishtov
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Lom 34 28 6 0 86:11 90
2 Vihar Slavyanovo 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
3 Yantra Polski Trambesh 34 20 6 8 67:38 66
4 Sevlievo 34 18 7 9 55:30 61
5 Spartak Pleven 34 19 3 12 76:34 60
6 Botev Vratsa II 34 18 6 10 67:44 60
7 Partizan Cerven Brjag 34 15 8 11 47:42 53
8 Pavlikeni 34 14 8 12 41:35 50
9 Lokomotiv Dryanovo 34 15 4 15 59:58 49
10 Drenovets 34 13 10 11 55:55 49
11 Lokomotiv Mezdra 34 14 4 16 46:48 46
12 Akademik Svishtov 34 10 5 19 41:60 35
13 OFK Levski 34 8 10 16 36:45 34
14 Parva Atomna 34 9 6 19 38:63 33
15 Bdin Vidin 34 8 9 17 35:84 33
16 Etar II 34 9 5 20 45:62 32
17 Peshtera Galata 34 9 5 20 48:82 32
18 Tryavna 34 2 2 30 21:110 8
Promotion - Vtora liga 2021/2022 (Main)