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Etar vs Chernomorets 1919

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Ivajlo Stadion, Veliko Tarnovo
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Etar host Chernomorets 1919 in the Vtora liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Etar have averaged 1.86 scored and 1.79 conceded recently, against Chernomorets 1919's 1.11 scored and 0.93 conceded. Head-to-head, Etar have won 1 to Chernomorets 1919's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.69 - 1.25) back Etar to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Etar
20%
Draws
57%
Chernomorets 1919
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chernomorets 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Etar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chernomorets 1919 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Etar Clean Sheet 19%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etar Chernomorets 1919
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.86 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.79 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Chernomorets 1919 vs Etar
1:3
May 3, 2026 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Etar
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Vtora liga
Etar vs Chernomorets 1919
3:3
Oct 13, 2024 Bulgarian Cup
Chernomorets 1919 vs Etar
2:0
Jan 24, 2024 Club Friendly
Chernomorets 1919 vs Etar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etar 10 / 100
Chernomorets 1919 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etar Chernomorets 1919

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernomorets 1919 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etar found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Chernomorets 1919's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Etar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Etar VS Chernomorets 1919
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Etar

(Home)
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
06 Sept
Etar
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
03 Sept
Vihren
4 : 1
Etar
29 Aug
Etar
2 : 2
Beroe
21 Aug
Gorna
2 : 1
Etar
Page 1 of 6

Chernomorets 1919

(Away)
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
02 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
29 Aug
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Chernomorets 1919
23 Aug
Hebar
1 : 0
Chernomorets 1919
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 9 6 3 0 21:8 21
2 CSKA Sofia II 9 5 2 2 19:8 17
3 Fratria 9 4 4 1 12:7 16
4 Yantra Gabrovo 9 5 1 3 12:9 16
5 Chernomorets 1919 9 4 3 2 12:6 15
6 Beroe 9 4 3 2 12:8 15
7 Etar 9 4 2 3 15:15 14
8 Nesebar 9 4 2 3 16:12 14
9 Marek 9 4 1 4 10:9 13
10 Ludogorets II 9 3 3 3 9:9 12
11 Rilski Sportist 9 3 3 3 10:9 12
12 Gorna 9 3 3 3 8:10 12
13 Hebar 9 3 2 4 18:17 11
14 Montana 9 3 2 4 13:16 11
15 Spartak Pleven 9 3 1 5 10:19 10
16 Svoge 9 1 4 4 4:7 7
17 Dobrudzha 9 1 3 5 9:14 6
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 9 0 0 9 3:30 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)