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Etar vs Chernomorets 1919 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Ivajlo Stadion, Veliko Tarnovo
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Match Events

6' Event
Kolev K.
15'
Dobrev S.
26' Event
Kostenski R.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Etar and Chernomorets 1919 finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chernomorets 1919.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Etar
15%
Draws
45%
Chernomorets 1919
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernomorets 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Etar's 1.96 goals per match outpaces what Chernomorets 1919 have produced (1.39).
  • Model gives Etar a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Etar Clean Sheet 10%
Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etar Chernomorets 1919
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.96 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Vtora liga
Etar vs Chernomorets 1919
2:4
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Chernomorets 1919 vs Etar
1:3
May 3, 2026 Vtora liga
Chernomorets 1919 vs Etar
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Vtora liga
Etar vs Chernomorets 1919
3:3
Oct 13, 2024 Bulgarian Cup
Chernomorets 1919 vs Etar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etar Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanov G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Velichkov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Chernomorets 1919 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kostenski R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kolev K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etar 38 / 100
Chernomorets 1919 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etar Chernomorets 1919

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etar found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Chernomorets 1919's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Etar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Etar VS Chernomorets 1919
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Etar

(Home)
30 Oct
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 2
Etar
23 Oct
Spartak Pleven
2 : 1
Etar
19 Oct
Etar
2 : 4
Spartak Varna
09 Oct
Etar
2 : 0
Fratria
03 Oct
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 3
Etar
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Chernomorets 1919

(Away)
31 Oct
Nesebar
1 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
23 Oct
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 1
Svoge
18 Oct
Chernomorets 1919
0 : 4
Botev Plovdiv
10 Oct
Dobrudzha
0 : 3
Chernomorets 1919
04 Oct
Volov Shumen
0 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 14 8 4 2 29:13 28
2 Chernomorets 1919 14 8 4 2 24:10 28
3 Vihren 14 7 5 2 26:13 26
4 Gorna 14 6 5 3 13:10 23
5 Yantra Gabrovo 14 7 2 5 19:14 23
6 Fratria 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 Beroe 14 6 3 5 21:18 21
8 Spartak Pleven 14 6 2 6 16:25 20
9 Hebar 14 6 2 6 29:24 20
10 Rilski Sportist 14 5 5 4 15:13 20
11 Etar 13 6 2 5 22:21 20
12 Ludogorets II 13 5 4 4 18:14 19
13 Marek 14 5 3 6 16:18 18
14 Nesebar 14 5 3 6 22:21 18
15 Montana 14 4 2 8 18:29 14
16 Svoge 14 2 6 6 10:15 12
17 Dobrudzha 13 2 3 8 13:26 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 14 0 1 13 5:38 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)