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Etar vs Marek - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Ivajlo Stadion, Veliko Tarnovo
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Todorov N.
46'
Sub
Kirev P. In: Yordanov V.
Out: Kirev P.
46'
Sub
Todorov N. In: Ajoku E.
Out: Todorov N.

AI Match Summary

Etar in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Etar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Etar
15%
Draws
45%
Marek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Etar have won more games recently than Marek.
  • Marek are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Etar Clean Sheet 12%
Marek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etar Marek
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.96 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.82 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Vtora liga
Etar vs Marek
1:0
May 23, 2026 Vtora liga
Marek vs Etar
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Vtora liga
Etar vs Marek
4:1
Mar 16, 2025 Vtora liga
Marek vs Etar
1:0
Sep 2, 2024 Vtora liga
Etar vs Marek
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etar Compare

Top Goalscorer Velichkov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Marek Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etar 10 / 100
Marek 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etar Marek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etar scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Etar went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Marek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 44% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Etar VS Marek
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Etar

(Home)
09 Oct
Etar
2 : 0
Fratria
03 Oct
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 3
Etar
20 Sept
Etar
2 : 4
Chernomorets 1919
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
06 Sept
Etar
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
Page 1 of 6

Marek

(Away)
10 Oct
Marek
3 : 2
Beroe
04 Oct
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Marek
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3
Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 12 7 3 2 23:9 24
2 Vihren 12 7 3 2 25:12 24
3 Chernomorets 1919 12 7 3 2 21:8 24
4 Fratria 12 6 4 2 17:10 22
5 Rilski Sportist 12 5 4 3 14:10 19
6 Yantra Gabrovo 12 6 1 5 13:11 19
7 Nesebar 12 5 3 4 20:17 18
8 Beroe 12 5 3 4 18:15 18
9 Gorna 12 4 5 3 9:10 17
10 Hebar 12 5 2 5 27:20 17
11 Etar 11 5 2 4 19:19 17
12 Marek 12 5 2 5 14:14 17
13 Spartak Pleven 12 4 2 6 12:23 14
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 12 2 4 6 8:13 10
17 Dobrudzha 12 2 3 7 12:21 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 12 0 1 11 5:34 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)