Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Etar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Ivajlo Stadion, Veliko Tarnovo
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kazakov I.
20' Event
Markov I.
44' Event
Borisov N.

AI Match Summary

Etar in this Vtora liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Etar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Etar
15%
Draws
0%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Etar have won more games recently than Pirin Blagoevgrad.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Etar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Etar Clean Sheet 20%
Pirin Blagoevgrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etar Pirin Blagoevgrad
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 3
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.9 0.61
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Vtora liga
Etar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
3:2
Oct 26, 2025 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Etar
1:1
Mar 6, 2025 Vtora liga
Etar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
2:0
Aug 27, 2024 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Etar
4:1
May 17, 2024 efbet League
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Etar
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etar Compare

Top Goalscorer Borisov N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Markov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Pirin Blagoevgrad Compare

Top Goalscorer Kazakov I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vasilev V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etar 67 / 100
Pirin Blagoevgrad 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etar Pirin Blagoevgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etar's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pirin Blagoevgrad has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Pirin Blagoevgrad registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Etar VS Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Etar

(Home)
20 Sept
Etar
2 : 4
Chernomorets 1919
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
06 Sept
Etar
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
03 Sept
Vihren
4 : 1
Etar
29 Aug
Etar
2 : 2
Beroe
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Pirin Blagoevgrad

(Away)
20 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 2
Fratria
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
07 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Ludogorets II
02 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
2 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
29 Aug
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Chernomorets 1919
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 32 20 9 3 53:16 69
2 Yantra Gabrovo 32 18 10 4 45:24 64
3 Fratria 32 18 9 5 61:29 63
4 Vihren 32 17 7 8 59:34 58
5 CSKA Sofia II 32 16 7 9 57:32 55
6 Chernomorets 1919 32 11 13 8 38:32 46
7 Etar 32 11 11 10 39:43 44
8 Ludogorets II 32 11 8 13 41:43 41
9 Marek 32 10 11 11 27:35 41
10 Hebar 32 11 7 14 41:51 40
11 Pirin Blagoevgrad 32 9 11 12 38:41 38
12 Spartak Pleven 32 9 8 15 37:45 35
13 Svoge 32 9 7 16 28:48 34
14 Gorna 32 8 9 15 33:52 33
15 Sevlievo 32 9 5 18 29:52 32
16 Minyor Pernik 32 7 9 16 32:45 30
17 Belasitsa Petrich 32 4 7 21 26:62 19
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