Sport Picks
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Bahir Dar Kenema Prediction & H2H Stats
Ethiopia
Premier League 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Ethio Electric S.C. and Bahir Dar Kenema finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
35%
18%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ethio Electric S.C.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ethio Electric S.C. come out ahead of Bahir Dar Kenema on wins alone.
- Ethio Electric S.C. are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Ethio Electric S.C. Clean Sheet 68%
Bahir Dar Kenema Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ethio Electric S.C. | Bahir Dar Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 12 | 18 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Bahir Dar Kenema
0:0
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Bahir Dar Kenema vs Ethio Electric S.C.
2:0
May 2, 2025 Premier League
Bahir Dar Kenema vs Ethio Electric S.C.
2:0
Oct 22, 2024 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Bahir Dar Kenema
1:0
Mar 8, 2023 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Bahir Dar Kenema
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ethio Electric S.C. 68 / 100
Bahir Dar Kenema 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ethio Electric S.C. Bahir Dar Kenema
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ethio Electric S.C. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Ethio Electric S.C. stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Ethio Electric S.C. scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Bahir Dar Kenema's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Ethio Electric S.C. VS Bahir Dar Kenema
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ethio Electric S.C.
(Home) 05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
22 Jun
Welayta Dicha
1 : 2 Ethio Electric S.C.
16 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
30 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
16 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
20 May
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
10 May
Ethio Electric S.C.
3 : 1 Fasil Kenema
29 Apr
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 1 Mechal SC
Page 1 of 3
Bahir Dar Kenema
(Away) 03 Jul
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
28 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 1 Sidama Bunna
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
16 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 2 Welayta Dicha
30 May
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
Page 1 of 6
03 Jul
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
30 May
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0 Bahir Dar Kenema
15 May
Dire Dawa
0 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
06 May
Fasil Kenema
0 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
