Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Sibomana P.
63'
63'
Tamene A.
(Penalty)
85'
85'
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Ethio Electric S.C. and Dire Dawa finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ethio Electric S.C.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Ethio Electric S.C. carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Ethio Electric S.C. taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ethio Electric S.C. Clean Sheet 68%
Dire Dawa Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ethio Electric S.C. | Dire Dawa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 12 | 13 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 20, 2026 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Dire Dawa
1:1
Jan 9, 2026 Premier League
Dire Dawa vs Ethio Electric S.C.
0:0
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Dire Dawa vs Ethio Electric S.C.
0:2
Nov 28, 2024 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Dire Dawa
0:0
May 9, 2023 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Dire Dawa
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ethio Electric S.C. Compare
Top Goalscorer Sibomana P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Dire Dawa Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ethio Electric S.C. 51 / 100
Dire Dawa 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ethio Electric S.C. Dire Dawa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dire Dawa let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Ethio Electric S.C. remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Ethio Electric S.C.'s goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Ethio Electric S.C. VS Dire Dawa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ethio Electric S.C.
(Home) 05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
22 Jun
Welayta Dicha
1 : 2 Ethio Electric S.C.
16 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
30 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
16 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
20 May
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
10 May
Ethio Electric S.C.
3 : 1 Fasil Kenema
29 Apr
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 1 Mechal SC
Page 1 of 3
Dire Dawa
(Away) 01 Jul
Dire Dawa
2 : 1 Arba Menche
27 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
20 Jun
Dire Dawa
2 : 0 Sheger Ketema FC
14 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
1 : 0 Dire Dawa
28 May
Dire Dawa
1 : 2 St. Georges
Page 1 of 6
27 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
14 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
1 : 0 Dire Dawa
20 May
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
11 May
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
3 : 0 Dire Dawa
29 Apr
Adama City
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
