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Ethio Electric S.C. vs Negele Arsi Ketema FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ethio Electric S.C. host Negele Arsi Ketema FC in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ethio Electric S.C. have averaged 0.86 scored and 0.79 conceded recently, against Negele Arsi Ketema FC's 1 scored and 0.82 conceded. Head-to-head, Ethio Electric S.C. have won 1 to Negele Arsi Ketema FC's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.06 - 1.13) back Negele Arsi Ketema FC to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ethio Electric S.C.
35%
Draws
32%
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Ethio Electric S.C. haven't matched Negele Arsi Ketema FC's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Ethio Electric S.C. Clean Sheet 20%
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethio Electric S.C. Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 11
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 0.86 1
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Premier League
Negele Arsi Ketema FC vs Ethio Electric S.C.
0:2
Nov 7, 2025 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Negele Arsi Ketema FC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethio Electric S.C. 31 / 100
Negele Arsi Ketema FC 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethio Electric S.C. Negele Arsi Ketema FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethio Electric S.C. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethio Electric S.C. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ethio Electric S.C. found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Negele Arsi Ketema FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ethio Electric S.C. VS Negele Arsi Ketema FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethio Electric S.C.

(Home)
09 Oct
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 1
Adama City
05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1
Ethio Electric S.C.
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1
Hawassa
22 Jun
Welayta Dicha
1 : 2
Ethio Electric S.C.
16 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 0
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
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Negele Arsi Ketema FC

(Away)
01 Jul
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
3 : 0
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
20 Jun
Sidama Bunna
1 : 1
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1
Hawassa
04 Jun
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adama City 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Welwalo Adigrat 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Halaba Ketema FC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 St. Georges 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Hawassa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Mechal SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Ethiopian Insurance 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Sidama Bunna 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Welayta Dicha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Fasil Kenema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Bahir Dar Kenema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Hadiya Hossana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Gamo Chencha FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Sheger Ketema FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Ethio Electric S.C. 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)