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Ethio Electric S.C. vs Sheger Ketema FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ethio Electric S.C. host Sheger Ketema FC in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Ethio Electric S.C. at 0.86 goals for, 0.79 against; Sheger Ketema FC at 0.86 for, 0.71 against. Past meetings favor Ethio Electric S.C. slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 0.94) point toward Ethio Electric S.C.. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ethio Electric S.C.
30%
Draws
39%
Sheger Ketema FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sheger Ketema FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sheger Ketema FC haven't matched Ethio Electric S.C.'s recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ethio Electric S.C. taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Ethio Electric S.C. Clean Sheet 20%
Sheger Ketema FC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethio Electric S.C. Sheger Ketema FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 10 14
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 0.86 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Sheger Ketema FC vs Ethio Electric S.C.
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Sheger Ketema FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethio Electric S.C. 36 / 100
Sheger Ketema FC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethio Electric S.C. Sheger Ketema FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethio Electric S.C. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Ethio Electric S.C. scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Sheger Ketema FC let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ethio Electric S.C. VS Sheger Ketema FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethio Electric S.C.

(Home)
09 Oct
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 1
Adama City
05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1
Ethio Electric S.C.
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1
Hawassa
22 Jun
Welayta Dicha
1 : 2
Ethio Electric S.C.
16 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 0
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
Page 1 of 6

Sheger Ketema FC

(Away)
02 Jul
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 2
Sheger Ketema FC
28 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
2 : 0
Mechal SC
20 Jun
Dire Dawa
2 : 0
Sheger Ketema FC
16 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
0 : 0
Welwalo Adigrat
29 May
Fasil Kenema
0 : 1
Sheger Ketema FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adama City 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Welwalo Adigrat 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Halaba Ketema FC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 St. Georges 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Hawassa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Mechal SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Ethiopian Insurance 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Sidama Bunna 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Welayta Dicha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Fasil Kenema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Bahir Dar Kenema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Hadiya Hossana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Gamo Chencha FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Sheger Ketema FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Ethio Electric S.C. 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)