Sport Picks
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Fasil Kenema
Ethiopia
Premier League 
Match Events
5'
5'
Dangiso K. D.
51'
51'
Abubakar A.
71'
71'
Habtamu A.
AI Match Summary
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee).
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) average 1.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Fasil Kenema's 1.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Clean Sheet 68%
Fasil Kenema Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | Fasil Kenema |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 20, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Fasil Kenema
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Premier League
Fasil Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
0:2
Apr 15, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Fasil Kenema
1:0
Jan 16, 2025 Premier League
Fasil Kenema vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
0:1
Mar 28, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Fasil Kenema
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Compare
Top Goalscorer Abubakar A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Habtamu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Fasil Kenema Compare
Top Goalscorer Dangiso K. D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 41 / 100
Fasil Kenema 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Fasil Kenema
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ETH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)'s goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Fasil Kenema has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) VS Fasil Kenema
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
(Home) 03 Jul
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
26 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
3 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
20 Jun
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
14 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1 : 2 Sidama Bunna
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
3 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
14 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1 : 2 Sidama Bunna
20 May
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
2 : 1 Fasil Kenema
09 May
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1 : 1 Mechal SC
30 Apr
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
2 : 4 Welwalo Adigrat
Page 1 of 3
Fasil Kenema
(Away) 01 Jul
Fasil Kenema
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0 Fasil Kenema
22 Jun
Fasil Kenema
2 : 0 Arba Menche
15 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1 Fasil Kenema
29 May
Fasil Kenema
0 : 1 Sheger Ketema FC
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
St. Georges
1 : 0 Fasil Kenema
15 Jun
Hadiya Hossana
0 : 1 Fasil Kenema
20 May
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
2 : 1 Fasil Kenema
10 May
Ethio Electric S.C.
3 : 1 Fasil Kenema
30 Apr
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
0 : 0 Fasil Kenema
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
