Sport Picks
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Negele Arsi Ketema FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ethiopia
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) host Negele Arsi Ketema FC in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Negele Arsi Ketema FC have shipped 0.83 goals a game lately, while Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.1. Past meetings favor Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 26, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 0.88, favoring Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee). The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Negele Arsi Ketema FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | Negele Arsi Ketema FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Negele Arsi Ketema FC let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
(Home)Negele Arsi Ketema FC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ethiopian Insurance | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Mechal SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Adama City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Sheger Ketema FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 | St. Georges | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 | Welwalo Adigrat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Halaba Ketema FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 | Welayta Dicha | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 12 | Fasil Kenema | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 13 | Hawassa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 14 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 15 | Sidama Bunna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 | Hadiya Hossana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
