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Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Sheger Ketema FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Beyene K.

AI Match Summary

Sheger Ketema FC in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sheger Ketema FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
30%
Draws
47%
Sheger Ketema FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sheger Ketema FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) lately — more wins on the board than Sheger Ketema FC.
  • Model gives Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Clean Sheet 20%
Sheger Ketema FC Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Sheger Ketema FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 14
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.14 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Sheger Ketema FC
0:1
Apr 8, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Sheger Ketema FC
1:1
Nov 26, 2025 Premier League
Sheger Ketema FC vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sheger Ketema FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Beyene K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 42 / 100
Sheger Ketema FC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Sheger Ketema FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sheger Ketema FC let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) VS Sheger Ketema FC
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)

(Home)
03 Jul
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
26 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
3 : 0
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
20 Jun
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0 : 0
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
14 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1 : 2
Sidama Bunna
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
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Sheger Ketema FC

(Away)
02 Jul
Shire Endaselassie
0 : 2
Sheger Ketema FC
28 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
2 : 0
Mechal SC
20 Jun
Dire Dawa
2 : 0
Sheger Ketema FC
16 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
0 : 0
Welwalo Adigrat
29 May
Fasil Kenema
0 : 1
Sheger Ketema FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adama City 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 St. Georges 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Welwalo Adigrat 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Halaba Ketema FC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Welayta Dicha 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Fasil Kenema 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Hawassa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Mechal SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Ethiopian Insurance 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Sidama Bunna 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Bahir Dar Kenema 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Hadiya Hossana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Gamo Chencha FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Sheger Ketema FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Ethio Electric S.C. 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)