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Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Sidama Bunna

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) play Sidama Bunna in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Sidama Bunna averaged 1.09 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. In past meetings, Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) won 1, Sidama Bunna won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 14, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) and 0.94 for Sidama Bunna. This points to a Sidama Bunna double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
23%
Draws
44%
Sidama Bunna
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Sidama Bunna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) picked up more points recently compared to Sidama Bunna.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Clean Sheet 24%
Sidama Bunna Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 54%
Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Sidama Bunna
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 15
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Sidama Bunna
1:2
Jan 22, 2026 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
3:0
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Sidama Bunna
0:1
Oct 26, 2024 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
2:0
Mar 3, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Sidama Bunna
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Compare

Top Goalscorer Zelalem A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sidama Bunna Compare

Top Goalscorer Bayeh Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bekele B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 35 / 100
Sidama Bunna 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Sidama Bunna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sidama Bunna or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) attacking → ← attacking Sidama Bunna

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Sidama Bunna let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sidama Bunna lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 54
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635