Sport Picks
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Welwalo Adigrat
Ethiopia
Premier League 
Match Events
4'
4'
Konkoni H.
8'
8'
Abubakar A.
12'
12'
Birhanu B.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) and Welwalo Adigrat finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Welwalo Adigrat.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) haven't matched Welwalo Adigrat's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Clean Sheet 68%
Welwalo Adigrat Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | Welwalo Adigrat |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 15 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 30, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Welwalo Adigrat
2:4
Dec 20, 2025 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1:1
May 29, 2025 Premier League
Welwalo Adigrat vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
0:0
Dec 10, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Welwalo Adigrat
0:0
May 9, 2020 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Welwalo Adigrat
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Compare
Top Goalscorer Abubakar A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Birhanu B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Welwalo Adigrat Compare
Top Goalscorer Konkoni H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kebede Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 51 / 100
Welwalo Adigrat 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Welwalo Adigrat
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)'s goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Welwalo Adigrat has conceded goals in 55% of their last 33 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) VS Welwalo Adigrat
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
(Home) 03 Jul
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
26 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
3 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
20 Jun
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
14 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1 : 2 Sidama Bunna
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
3 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
14 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1 : 2 Sidama Bunna
20 May
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
2 : 1 Fasil Kenema
09 May
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1 : 1 Mechal SC
30 Apr
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
2 : 4 Welwalo Adigrat
Page 1 of 3
Welwalo Adigrat
(Away) 09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2 Welwalo Adigrat
02 Jul
Welwalo Adigrat
1 : 1 St. Georges
26 Jun
Arba Menche
0 : 1 Welwalo Adigrat
22 Jun
Welwalo Adigrat
0 : 1 Hadiya Hossana
16 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
0 : 0 Welwalo Adigrat
Page 1 of 7
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2 Welwalo Adigrat
26 Jun
Arba Menche
0 : 1 Welwalo Adigrat
16 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
0 : 0 Welwalo Adigrat
21 May
Adama City
0 : 0 Welwalo Adigrat
10 May
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 0 Welwalo Adigrat
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
