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Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Hawassa

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Daniel N.
37' Event
Kebede G.
41' Event
Gidey A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Hawassa finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ethiopia Nigd Bank.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
20%
Draws
38%
Hawassa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ethiopia Nigd Bank

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ethiopia Nigd Bank come out ahead of Hawassa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ethiopia Nigd Bank's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Clean Sheet 68%
Hawassa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia Nigd Bank Hawassa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 13
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Hawassa
4:2
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League
Hawassa vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1:1
Apr 22, 2025 Premier League
Hawassa vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2:1
Feb 5, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Hawassa
2:0
Apr 11, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Hawassa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ethiopia Nigd Bank Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shafi H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Hawassa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kebede G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bekele S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia Nigd Bank 51 / 100
Hawassa 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Hawassa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ethiopia Nigd Bank scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Hawassa conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ethiopia Nigd Bank stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia Nigd Bank VS Hawassa
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635