Sport Picks
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Sidama Bunna
Ethiopia
Premier League 2025/2026 
Match Events
45'
45'
Yalew A.
56'
56'
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Sidama Bunna finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sidama Bunna.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sidama Bunna
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Ethiopia Nigd Bank haven't matched Sidama Bunna's recent run of results.
- 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Clean Sheet 18%
Sidama Bunna Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | Sidama Bunna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 14, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Sidama Bunna
0:1
Dec 1, 2025 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Sidama Bunna
2:1
Jan 10, 2025 Premier League
Sidama Bunna vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1:1
Apr 21, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Sidama Bunna
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Sidama Bunna Compare
Top Goalscorer Yalew A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ethiopia Nigd Bank 36 / 100
Sidama Bunna 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Sidama Bunna
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sidama Bunna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ethiopia Nigd Bank's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Sidama Bunna let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.
Scoring Trends
Ethiopia Nigd Bank VS Sidama Bunna
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
(Home) 03 Jul
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
20 Jun
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
15 Jun
Adama City
2 : 1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
30 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
Page 1 of 6
03 Jul
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 2 Bahir Dar Kenema
20 Jun
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
30 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
15 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 1 Sheger Ketema FC
05 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 0 St. Georges
Page 1 of 4
Sidama Bunna
(Away) 13 Sept
Sidama Bunna
3 : 0 Aiglons
05 Sept
Aiglons
0 : 0 Sidama Bunna
09 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 2 Welwalo Adigrat
05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
28 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 1 Sidama Bunna
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Aiglons
0 : 0 Sidama Bunna
28 Jun
Bahir Dar Kenema
0 : 1 Sidama Bunna
14 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1 : 2 Sidama Bunna
21 May
Arba Menche
0 : 3 Sidama Bunna
10 May
Sheger Ketema FC
1 : 0 Sidama Bunna
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
